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Infectivity, susceptibility, and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission under intensive contact tracing in Hunan, China
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2021
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Shixiong Hu
Wei Wang
Yan Wang
Maria Litvinova
Kaiwei Luo
Lingshuang Ren
Qianlai Sun
Xinghui Chen
Zeng Ge
Jing Li
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20
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The early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Lombardy, Italy
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2020
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Danilo Cereda
Marcello Tirani
Francesca Rovida
Vittorio Demicheli
Marco Ajelli
Piero Poletti
Filippo Trentini
Giorgio Guzzetta
Valentina Marziano
Antonio Barone
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15
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Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020
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2020
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Flavia Riccardo
Marco Ajelli
Xanthi Andrianou
Antonino Bella
Martina Del Manso
Massimo Fabiani
Stefania Bellino
Stefano Boros
Alberto MateoâUrdiales
Valentina Marziano
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15
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Association of Age With Likelihood of Developing Symptoms and Critical Disease Among Close Contacts Exposed to Patients With Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Italy
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2021
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Piero Poletti
Marcello Tirani
Danilo Cereda
Filippo Trentini
Giorgio Guzzetta
Giuliana Sabatino
Valentina Marziano
Ambra Castrofino
Francesca Grosso
Gabriele Del Castillo
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15
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Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases
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2008
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Joël Mossong
Niel Hens
Mark Jit
Philippe Beutels
Kari Auranen
Rafael Mikolajczyk
Marco Massari
Stefania Salmaso
Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba
Jacco Wallinga
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13
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On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R 0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations
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1990
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Odo Diekmann
Hans Heesterbeek
J.A.J. Metz
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13
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The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy
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2021
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Danilo Cereda
Mattia Manica
Marcello Tirani
Francesca Rovida
Vittorio Demicheli
Marco Ajelli
Piero Poletti
Filippo Trentini
Giorgio Guzzetta
Valentina Marziano
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13
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Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown
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2021
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Valentina Marziano
Giorgio Guzzetta
Bruna Maria Rondinone
Fabio Boccuni
Flavia Riccardo
Antonino Bella
Piero Poletti
Filippo Trentini
Patrizio Pezzotti
Silvio Brusaferro
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13
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Age-specific SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality ratio and associated risk factors, Italy, February to April 2020
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2020
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Piero Poletti
Marcello Tirani
Danilo Cereda
Filippo Trentini
Giorgio Guzzetta
Valentina Marziano
Sabrina Buoro
Simona Riboli
Lucia Crottogini
Raffaella Piccarreta
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12
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Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks
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2018
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Quan-Hui Liu
Marco Ajelli
Alberto Aleta
Stefano Merler
Yamir Moreno
Alessandro Vespignani
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12
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Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China
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2020
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Juanjuan Zhang
Maria Litvinova
Yuxia Liang
Yan Wang
Wei Wang
Shanlu Zhao
Qianhui Wu
Stefano Merler
CĂ©cile Viboud
Alessandro Vespignani
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12
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Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study
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2020
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Juanjuan Zhang
Maria Litvinova
Wei Wang
Yan Wang
Xiaowei Deng
Xinghui Chen
Mei Li
Wen Zheng
Lan Yi
Xinhua Chen
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12
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Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy
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2020
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Giorgio Guzzetta
Flavia Riccardo
Valentina Marziano
Piero Poletti
Filippo Trentini
Antonino Bella
Xanthi Andrianou
Martina Del Manso
Massimo Fabiani
Stefania Bellino
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11
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Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2
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2020
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Kaiyuan Sun
Wei Wang
Lidong Gao
Yan Wang
Kaiwei Luo
Lingshuang Ren
Zhifei Zhan
Xinghui Chen
Shanlu Zhao
Yiwei Huang
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11
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Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England
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2021
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Nicholas G. Davies
Sam Abbott
Rosanna C. Barnard
Christopher I Jarvis
Adam J. Kucharski
James D. Munday
Carl A. B. Pearson
Timothy Russell
Damien C. Tully
Alex Washburne
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10
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Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020
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2020
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Giorgio Guzzetta
Piero Poletti
Marco Ajelli
Filippo Trentini
Valentina Marziano
Danilo Cereda
Marcello Tirani
Giulio Diurno
Annalisa Bodina
Antonio Barone
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10
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Association of Public Health Interventions With the Epidemiology of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Wuhan, China
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2020
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An Pan
Li Liu
Chaolong Wang
Huan Guo
Xingjie Hao
Qi Wang
Jiao Huang
Na He
Hongjie Yu
Xihong Lin
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9
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Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel CoronavirusâInfected Pneumonia
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2020
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Qun Li
Xuhua Guan
Peng Wu
Xiaoye Wang
Lei Zhou
Yeqing Tong
Ruiqi Ren
Kathy Leung
Eric H. Y. Lau
Jessica Y. Wong
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9
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Effect of Vaccination on Household Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in England
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2021
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Ross Harris
Jennifer Hall
Asad Zaidi
Nick Andrews
J Kevin Dunbar
Gavin Dabrera
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9
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Probability of symptoms and critical disease after SARS-CoV-2 infection
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2020
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Piero Poletti
Marcello Tirani
Danilo Cereda
Filippo Trentini
Giorgio Guzzetta
Giuliana Sabatino
Marziano
Ambra Castrofino
Francesca Grosso
Castillo Gd
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8
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Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021
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2021
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Juan Yang
Valentina Marziano
Xiaowei Deng
Giorgio Guzzetta
Juanjuan Zhang
Filippo Trentini
Jun Cai
Piero Poletti
Wen Zheng
Wei Wang
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8
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A Systematic Review of COVID-19 Epidemiology Based on Current Evidence
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2020
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Minah Park
Alex R. Cook
Jue Tao Lim
Yinxiaohe Sun
Borame Sue Lee Dickens
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8
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The construction of next-generation matrices for compartmental epidemic models
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2009
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Odo Diekmann
Hans Heesterbeek
Michael C. Roberts
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7
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SARS-CoV-2 infection rates of antibody-positive compared with antibody-negative health-care workers in England: a large, multicentre, prospective cohort study (SIREN)
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2021
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Victoria Hall
Sarah Foulkes
André Charlett
Ana Atti
Edward J M Monk
Ruth Simmons
Edgar Wellington
Michelle Cole
Ayoub Saei
Blanché Oguti
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7
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A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden
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2021
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Agnese Zardini
Margherita Galli
Marcello Tirani
Danilo Cereda
Mattia Manica
Filippo Trentini
Giorgio Guzzetta
Valentina Marziano
Raffaella Piccarreta
Alessia Melegaro
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7
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A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics
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2013
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Anne Cori
Neil M. Ferguson
Christophe Fraser
Simon Cauchemez
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7
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The effect of COVID-19 vaccination in Italy and perspectives for living with the virus
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2021
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Valentina Marziano
Giorgio Guzzetta
Alessia Mammone
Flavia Riccardo
Piero Poletti
Filippo Trentini
Mattia Manica
Andrea Siddu
Antonino Bella
Paola Stefanelli
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6
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Model-informed COVID-19 vaccine prioritization strategies by age and serostatus
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2021
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Kate M. Bubar
Kyle Reinholt
Stephen M. Kissler
Marc Lipsitch
Sarah Cobey
Yonatan H. Grad
Daniel B. Larremore
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6
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Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective cohort study
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2020
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Qifang Bi
Yongsheng Wu
Shujiang Mei
Chenfei Ye
Xuan Zou
Zhen Zhang
Xiaojian Liu
Lan Wei
Shaun Truelove
Tong Zhang
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6
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How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers
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2006
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Jacco Wallinga
Marc Lipsitch
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6
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Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19
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2020
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Xi He
Eric H. Y. Lau
Peng Wu
Xilong Deng
Jian Wang
Xinxin Hao
Yiu Chung Lau
Jessica Y. Wong
Yujuan Guan
Xinghua Tan
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6
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Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China
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2020
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Joseph T. Wu
Kathy Leung
Mary Bushman
Nishant Kishore
René Niehus
Pablo M. De Salazar
Benjamin J. Cowling
Marc Lipsitch
GM Leung
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6
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The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements
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2020
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Matthew Quaife
Kevin van Zandvoort
Amy Gimma
Kashvi Shah
Nicky McCreesh
Kiesha Prem
Edwine Barasa
Daniel Mwanga
Beth Kangwana
Jessie Pinchoff
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6
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+
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Infectivity, susceptibility, and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission under intensive contact tracing in Hunan, China
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2020
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Shixiong Hu
Wei Wang
Yan Wang
Maria Litvinova
Kaiwei Luo
Lingshuang Ren
Qianlai Sun
Xinghui Chen
Zeng Ge
Jing Li
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5
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Ebola Virus Disease in West Africa â The First 9 Months of the Epidemic and Forward Projections
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2014
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5
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Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France
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2020
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Henrik Salje
CĂ©cile Tran Kiem
Noémie Lefrancq
Noémie Courtejoie
Paolo Bosetti
Juliette Paireau
Alessio Andronico
Nathanaël Hozé
Jehanne Richet
Claire-Lise Dubost
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5
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Early transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in a southern hemisphere setting: Lima-Peru: February 29thâMarch 30th, 2020
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2020
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CĂ©sar V. Munayco
Amna Tariq
Richard Rothenberg
Mirtha Gabriela Soto Cabezas
Mary F. Reyes
Andree Valle-Campos
Leonardo Rojas-Mezarina
CĂ©sar Cabezas
Manuel Loayza
Gerardo Chowell
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5
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Modeling the interplay between demography, social contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the South West Shewa Zone of Oromia Region, Ethiopia
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2021
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Filippo Trentini
Giorgio Guzzetta
Margherita Galli
Agnese Zardini
Fabio Manenti
Giovanni Putoto
Valentina Marziano
Worku Nigussa Gamshie
Ademe Tsegaye
Alessandro Greblo
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5
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Estimation of the incubation period and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Delta variants from contact tracing data
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2022
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Mattia Manica
Maria Litvinova
Alfredo De Bellis
Giorgio Guzzetta
Pamela Mancuso
Massimo Vicentini
Francesco Venturelli
Eufemia Bisaccia
Ana I. Bento
Piero Poletti
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5
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Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Transmission Potential, Iran, 2020
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2020
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Kamalich Muniz-Rodriguez
Isaac ChunâHai Fung
Shayesteh R. Ferdosi
Sylvia K. Ofori
Yiseul Lee
Amna Tariq
Gerardo Chowell
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5
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Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases in Italy and estimates of the reproductive numbers one month into the epidemic
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2020
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Flavia Riccardo
Marco Ajelli
Xanthi Andrianou
Antonino Bella
Martina Del Manso
Massimo Fabiani
Stefania Bellino
Stefano Boros
Alberto MateoâUrdiales
Valentina Marziano
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5
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Increased transmissibility and global spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern as at June 2021
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2021
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Finlay Campbell
Brett N. Archer
Henry LaurensonâSchafer
Yuka Jinnai
Frank Konings
Neale Batra
Boris Pavlin
Katelijn Vandemaele
Maria D. Van Kerkhove
Thibaut Jombart
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5
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The impact of relaxing interventions on human contact patterns and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in China
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2021
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Juanjuan Zhang
Maria Litvinova
Yuxia Liang
Wen Zheng
Huilin Shi
Alessandro Vespignani
CĂ©cile Viboud
Marco Ajelli
Hongjie Yu
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5
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Disease burden and clinical severity of the first pandemic wave of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China
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2020
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Juan Yang
Xinhua Chen
Xiaowei Deng
Zhiyuan Chen
Hui Gong
Yan Han
Qianhui Wu
Huilin Shi
Shengjie Lai
Marco Ajelli
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5
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Prevalence of Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infection
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2020
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Daniel P. Oran
Eric J. Topol
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5
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Susceptibility to SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Children and Adolescents Compared With Adults
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2020
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Russell Viner
Oliver Mytton
Chris Bonell
G. J. MelĂ©ndezâTorres
Joseph Ward
Lee Hudson
Claire S. Waddington
James Thomas
Simon Russell
Fiona van der Klis
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5
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Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19
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2020
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Jan Brauner
Sören Mindermann
Mrinank Sharma
David Johnston
John Salvatier
TomĂĄĆĄ GavenÄiak
Anna B. Stephenson
Gavin Leech
George Altman
Vladimir Mikulik
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5
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Interpreting vaccine efficacy trial results for infection and transmission
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2021
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Marc Lipsitch
Rebecca Kahn
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5
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Inferring the Structure of Social Contacts from Demographic Data in the Analysis of Infectious Diseases Spread
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2012
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Laura Fumanelli
Marco Ajelli
Piero Manfredi
Alessandro Vespignani
Stefano Merler
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5
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A large COVID-19 outbreak in a high school 10 days after schoolsâ reopening, Israel, May 2020
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2020
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Chen SteinâZamir
Nitza Abramson
Hanna Shoob
Erez Libal
Menachem Bitan
Tanya Cardash
Refael Cayam
Ian Miskin
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4
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