Estee Y. Cramer

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All published works
Action Title Year Authors
+ PDF Chat Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations 2024 Sarabeth Mathis
Alexander E. Webber
TomĂĄs M. LeĂłn
Erin L. Murray
Monica Sun
Lauren A. White
Logan Brooks
Alden Green
Addison J. Hu
Roni Rosenfeld
+ Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021 2024 Velma K. Lopez
Estee Y. Cramer
Robert R. Pagano
John M. Drake
Eamon B. O’Dea
Madeline Adee
Turgay Ayer
Jagpreet Chhatwal
Özden O. Dalgıç
Mary A. Ladd
+ PDF Chat Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020–2021 2024 Velma K. Lopez
Estee Y. Cramer
Robert R. Pagano
John M. Drake
Eamon B. O’Dea
Madeline Adee
Turgay Ayer
Jagpreet Chhatwal
Özden O. Dalgıç
Mary A. Ladd
+ PDF Chat Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations 2023 Sarabeth Mathis
Alexander E. Webber
TomĂĄs M. LeĂłn
Erin L. Murray
Monica Sun
Lauren A. White
Logan Brooks
Alden Green
Addison J. Hu
Daniel J. McDonald
+ Assessing the utility of COVID-19 case reports as a leading indicator for hospitalization forecasting in the United States 2023 Nicholas G Reich
Yijin Wang
Meagan Burns
Rosa Ergas
Estee Y. Cramer
Evan L Ray
+ PDF Chat Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021 2023 Velma K. Lopez
Estee Y. Cramer
Robert R. Pagano
John M. Drake
Eamon B. O’Dea
Madeline Adee
Turgay Ayer
Jagpreet Chhatwal
Özden O. Dalgıç
Mary A. Ladd
+ PDF Chat Assessing the utility of COVID-19 case reports as a leading indicator for hospitalization forecasting in the United States 2023 Nicholas G Reich
Yijin Wang
Meagan Burns
Rosa Ergas
Estee Y. Cramer
Evan L Ray
+ PDF Chat Characterizing the spatial distribution of multiple malaria diagnostic endpoints in a low-transmission setting in Lao PDR 2022 Isabel Byrne
Estee Y. Cramer
Luca Nelli
Francois Rerolle
Lindsey Wu
Catriona Patterson
Jason Rosado
Elin Dumont
Kevin K. A. Tetteh
Emily Dantzer
+ PDF Chat The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset 2022 Estee Y. Cramer
Yuxin Huang
Yijin Wang
Evan L Ray
Matthew Cornell
Johannes Bracher
Andrea Brennen
Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira
Aaron Gerding
Katie House
+ Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States 2022 Evan L Ray
Logan Brooks
Jacob Bien
Matthew Biggerstaff
Nikos I Bosse
Johannes Bracher
Estee Y. Cramer
Sebastian Funk
Aaron Gerding
Michael A. Johansson
+ Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States 2022 Estee Y. Cramer
Evan L Ray
Velma K. Lopez
Johannes Bracher
Andrea Brennen
Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira
Aaron Gerding
Tilmann Gneiting
Katie House
Yuxin Huang
+ Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States 2022 Evan L Ray
Logan Brooks
Jacob Bien
Matthew Biggerstaff
Nikos I Bosse
Johannes Bracher
Estee Y. Cramer
Sebastian Funk
Aaron Gerding
Michael A. Johansson
+ The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset 2021 Estee Y. Cramer
Yuxin Huang
Yijin Wang
Evan L Ray
Matthew Cornell
Johannes Bracher
Andrea Brennen
Alvaro J Castero Rivadeneira
Aaron Gerding
Katie House
+ PDF Chat Serological surveys to estimate cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in adults (Sero-MAss study), Massachusetts, July–August 2020: a mail-based cross-sectional study 2021 Teah Snyder
Johanna Ravenhurst
Estee Y. Cramer
Nicholas G Reich
Laura B. Balzer
Dominique Alfandari
Andrew A. Lover
+ PDF Chat Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US 2021 Estee Y. Cramer
Evan L Ray
Velma K. Lopez
Johannes Bracher
Andrea Brennen
Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira
Aaron Gerding
Tilmann Gneiting
Katie House
Yuxin Huang
+ Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S. 2020 Evan L Ray
Nutcha Wattanachit
Jarad Niemi
Abdul Hannan Kanji
Katie House
Estee Y. Cramer
Johannes Bracher
Andrew Zheng
Teresa K. Yamana
Xinyue Xiong
Common Coauthors
Commonly Cited References
Action Title Year Authors # of times referenced
+ PDF Chat Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format 2021 Johannes Bracher
Evan L Ray
Tilmann Gneiting
Nicholas G Reich
10
+ PDF Chat An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics 2019 Michael A. Johansson
Karyn M. Apfeldorf
Scott Dobson
Jason Devita
Anna L. Buczak
Benjamin Baugher
Linda Moniz
Thomas Bagley
Steven M. Babin
Erhan Guven
9
+ PDF Chat A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States 2019 Nicholas G Reich
Logan Brooks
Spencer J. Fox
Sasikiran Kandula
Craig McGowan
Evan Moore
Dave Osthus
Evan L Ray
Abhinav Tushar
Teresa K. Yamana
9
+ Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States 2022 Estee Y. Cramer
Evan L Ray
Velma K. Lopez
Johannes Bracher
Andrea Brennen
Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira
Aaron Gerding
Tilmann Gneiting
Katie House
Yuxin Huang
8
+ PDF Chat Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines 2021 Simon Pollett
Michael A. Johansson
Nicholas G Reich
David M. Brett-Major
Sara Y. Del Valle
Srinivasan Venkatramanan
Rachel Lowe
Travis C. Porco
Irina Maljkovic Berry
Alina Deshpande
7
+ PDF Chat Applying infectious disease forecasting to public health: a path forward using influenza forecasting examples 2019 Chelsea S. Lutz
Mimi P. Huynh
Monica Schroeder
Sophia Anyatonwu
F. Scott Dahlgren
Gregory Danyluk
Danielle FernĂĄndez
Sharon K. Greene
Nodar Kipshidze
Leann Liu
7
+ PDF Chat Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S. 2019 Nicholas G Reich
Craig McGowan
Teresa K. Yamana
Abhinav Tushar
Evan L Ray
Dave Osthus
Sasikiran Kandula
Logan Brooks
Willow Crawford-Crudell
Graham Casey Gibson
7
+ The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt 2017 CĂ©cile Viboud
Kaiyuan Sun
Robert Gaffey
Marco Ajelli
Laura Fumanelli
Stefano Merler
Qian Zhang
Gerardo Chowell
Lone Simonsen
Alessandro Vespignani
7
+ PDF Chat The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset 2022 Estee Y. Cramer
Yuxin Huang
Yijin Wang
Evan L Ray
Matthew Cornell
Johannes Bracher
Andrea Brennen
Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira
Aaron Gerding
Katie House
6
+ PDF Chat Nonmechanistic forecasts of seasonal influenza with iterative one-week-ahead distributions 2018 Logan Brooks
David Farrow
Sangwon Hyun
Ryan J. Tibshirani
Roni Rosenfeld
5
+ Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States 2021 James W. Taylor
Kathryn Taylor
5
+ Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States 2022 Evan L Ray
Logan Brooks
Jacob Bien
Matthew Biggerstaff
Nikos I Bosse
Johannes Bracher
Estee Y. Cramer
Sebastian Funk
Aaron Gerding
Michael A. Johansson
4
+ Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling 2022 Nicholas G Reich
Justin Lessler
Sebastian Funk
CĂ©cile Viboud
Alessandro Vespignani
Ryan J. Tibshirani
Katriona Shea
Melanie Schienle
Michael C. Runge
Roni Rosenfeld
4
+ PDF Chat Improving Pandemic Response: Employing Mathematical Modeling to Confront Coronavirus Disease 2019 2021 Matthew Biggerstaff
Rachel B. Slayton
Michael A. Johansson
Jay C. Butler
4
+ PDF Chat Epidemic Forecasting is Messier Than Weather Forecasting: The Role of Human Behavior and Internet Data Streams in Epidemic Forecast 2016 Kelly R. Moran
Geoffrey Fairchild
Nicholas Generous
Kyle S. Hickmann
Dave Osthus
Reid Priedhorsky
James M. Hyman
Sara Y. Del Valle
4
+ An ensemble model based on early predictors to forecast COVID-19 health care demand in France 2022 Juliette Paireau
Alessio Andronico
Nathanaël Hozé
Maylis Layan
Pascal Crépey
Alix Roumagnac
Marc Lavielle
Pierre‐Yves BoĂ«lle
Simon Cauchemez
4
+ Real-time pandemic surveillance using hospital admissions and mobility data 2022 Spencer J. Fox
Michael Lachmann
Mauricio Tec
Remy Pasco
Spencer Woody
Zhanwei Du
Xutong Wang
Tanvi A. Ingle
Emily Javan
Maytal Dahan
4
+ PDF Chat Prediction of infectious disease epidemics via weighted density ensembles 2018 Evan L Ray
Nicholas G Reich
4
+ Can auxiliary indicators improve COVID-19 forecasting and hotspot prediction? 2021 Daniel J. McDonald
Jacob Bien
Alden Green
Addison J. Hu
Nat DeFries
Sangwon Hyun
Natalia L. Oliveira
James Sharpnack
Jingjing Tang
Robert Tibshirani
4
+ PDF Chat Phase-Informed Bayesian Ensemble Models Improve Performance of COVID-19 Forecasts 2023 Aniruddha Adiga
Gursharn Kaur
Lijing Wang
Benjamin Hurt
Przemyslaw Porebski
Srinivasan Venkatramanan
Bryan Lewis
Madhav Marathe
3
+ An open repository of real-time COVID-19 indicators 2021 Alex Reinhart
Logan Brooks
Maria Jahja
Aaron Rumack
Jingjing Tang
Sumit Agrawal
Wael Al Saeed
Taylor Arnold
Amartya Basu
Jacob Bien
3
+ The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset 2021 Estee Y. Cramer
Yuxin Huang
Yijin Wang
Evan L Ray
Matthew Cornell
Johannes Bracher
Andrea Brennen
Alvaro J Castero Rivadeneira
Aaron Gerding
Katie House
3
+ A pre-registered short-term forecasting study of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave 2021 Johannes Bracher
Daniel Wolffram
Jannik Deuschel
Konstantin Görgen
Jakob Ketterer
Alexander Ullrich
Sam Abbott
Maria Vittoria Barbarossa
Dimitris Bertsimas
Sangeeta Bhatia
3
+ PDF Chat An evaluation of prospective COVID-19 modelling studies in the USA: from data to science translation 2022 Kristen Nixon
Sonia Jindal
Felix Parker
Nicholas G Reich
Kimia Ghobadi
Elizabeth C. Lee
Shaun Truelove
Lauren Gardner
2
+ Evaluating Forecasts with scoringutils in R 2022 Nikos I Bosse
Hugo Gruson
Anne Cori
Edwin van Leeuwen
Sebastian Funk
Sam Abbott
2
+ Enhancing COVID-19 Ensemble Forecasting Model Performance Using Auxiliary Data Sources 2022 Aniruddha Adiga
Gursharn Kaur
Benjamin Hurt
Lijing Wang
Przemyslaw Porebski
Srinivasan Venkatramanan
Bryan Lewis
Madhav Marathe
2
+ A Simple Explanation of the Forecast Combination Puzzle* 2009 Jeremy Smith
Kenneth F. Wallis
2
+ A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities 2022 Shokoofeh Nourbakhsh
Aamir Fazil
Michael Li
Chand S. Mangat
Shelley Peterson
Jade Daigle
Stacie Langner
Jayson Shurgold
Patrick M. D’Aoust
Robert Delatolla
2
+ PDF Chat Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens 2019 Jonathan A. Polonsky
Amrish Baidjoe
Zhian N. Kamvar
Anne Cori
Kara Durski
W. John Edmunds
Rosalind M. Eggo
Sebastian Funk
Laurent Kaiser
Patrick Keating
2
+ PDF Chat Modelling the influence of human behaviour on the spread of infectious diseases: a review 2010 Sebastian Funk
Marcel Salathé
Vincent A. A. Jansen
2
+ Incorporation of near-real-time hospital occupancy data to improve hospitalization forecast accuracy during the COVID-19 pandemic 2022 Alexander Preiss
Emily Hadley
Kasey Jones
Marie C. D. Stoner
Caroline Kery
Peter Baumgartner
Georgiy Bobashev
Jessica D. Tenenbaum
Charles W. Carter
K. Clément
2
+ PDF Chat COVIDNearTerm: A simple method to forecast COVID-19 hospitalizations 2022 Adam B. Olshen
Ariadna Garcia
Kristopher Kapphahn
Yingjie Weng
Jason Vargo
John Pugliese
David Crow
Paul Wesson
George W. Rutherford
Mithat Gönen
2
+ PDF Chat Evaluating the reliability of mobility metrics from aggregated mobile phone data as proxies for SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the USA: a population-based study 2021 Nishant Kishore
Aimee R. Taylor
Pierre Jacob
Navin Vembar
Ted Cohen
Caroline O. Buckee
Nicolas A. Menzies
2
+ Results from the second year of a collaborative effort to forecast influenza seasons in the United States 2018 Matthew Biggerstaff
Michael A. Johansson
David Alper
Logan Brooks
Prithwish Chakraborty
David Farrow
Sangwon Hyun
Sasikiran Kandula
Craig McGowan
Naren Ramakrishnan
2
+ Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting 2021 Thomas McAndrew
Nicholas G Reich
2
+ PDF Chat Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease 2021 Rachel J. Oidtman
Elisa Omodei
Moritz U. G. Kraemer
Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela
Erica Cruz-Rivera
Sandra Patricia Misnaza
Myriam Patricia Cifuentes
Luz Emilse RincĂłn
Viviana Cañon
Pedro A. de AlarcĂłn
2
+ PDF Chat Impact of Rank-Based Normalizing Transformations on the Accuracy of Test Scores 2009 Shira R. Soloman
Shlomo S. Sawilowsky
2
+ PDF Chat One year of modeling and forecasting COVID-19 transmission to support policymakers in Connecticut 2021 Olga Morozova
Zehang Li
Forrest W. Crawford
2
+ The US COVID-19 Trends and Impact Survey: Continuous real-time measurement of COVID-19 symptoms, risks, protective behaviors, testing, and vaccination 2021 Joshua A. Salomon
Alex Reinhart
Alyssa Bilinski
Eu Jing Chua
Wichada La Motte‐Kerr
Minttu M. Rönn
Marissa B Reitsma
Katherine Morris
Sarah LaRocca
Tamer H. Farag
2
+ Can Auxiliary Indicators Improve COVID-19 Forecasting and Hotspot Prediction? 2021 Daniel J. McDonald
Jacob Bien
Alden Green
Addison J. Hu
Nat DeFries
Sangwon Hyun
Natalia L. Oliveira
James Sharpnack
Jingjing Tang
Robert Tibshirani
2
+ PDF Chat Use and communication of probabilistic forecasts 2016 Adrian E. Raftery
2
+ PDF Chat Nowcasting for Real-Time COVID-19 Tracking in New York City: An Evaluation Using Reportable Disease Data From Early in the Pandemic 2021 Sharon K. Greene
Sarah F. McGough
Gretchen M. Culp
Laura Graf
Marc Lipsitch
Nicolas A. Menzies
Rebecca Kahn
2
+ PDF Chat Covid-19 pandemic and the unprecedented mobilisation of scholarly efforts prompted by a health crisis: Scientometric comparisons across SARS, MERS and 2019-nCoV literature 2020 Milad Haghani
Michiel C.J. Bliemer
2
+ Ensemble Forecasts of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S. 2020 Evan L Ray
Nutcha Wattanachit
Jarad Niemi
Abdul Hannan Kanji
Katie House
Estee Y. Cramer
Johannes Bracher
Andrew Zheng
Teresa K. Yamana
Xinyue Xiong
2
+ PDF Chat Optimizing infectious disease interventions during an emerging epidemic 2009 Jacco Wallinga
Michiel van Boven
Marc Lipsitch
2
+ Improving the evidence base for decision making during a pandemic: the example of 2009 influenza A/H1N1. 2011 Marc Lipsitch
Lyn Finelli
Richard Heffernan
GM Leung
Stephen C. Redd
2
+ Ensemble forecast modeling for the design of COVID-19 vaccine efficacy trials 2020 Natalie E. Dean
Ana Pastore y Piontti
Zachary J. Madewell
Derek A. T. Cummings
Matt D. T. Hitchings
Keya Joshi
Rebecca Kahn
Alessandro Vespignani
M. Elizabeth Halloran
Ira M. Longini
2
+ PDF Chat Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios — United States, April–September 2021 2021 Rebecca K. Borchering
CĂ©cile Viboud
Emily Howerton
Claire P. Smith
Shaun Truelove
Michael C. Runge
Nicholas G Reich
Lucie Contamin
John Levander
Jessica Salerno
2
+ Forecasting COVID-19 Hospital Census: A Multivariate Time-Series Model Based on Local Infection Incidence 2021 Hieu Nguyen
Philip Turk
Andrew McWilliams
2
+ PDF Chat Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales 2023 Nikos I Bosse
Sam Abbott
Anne Cori
Edwin van Leeuwen
Johannes Bracher
Sebastian Funk
2