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Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format

Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format

For practical reasons, many forecasts of case, hospitalization, and death counts in the context of the current Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic are issued in the form of central predictive intervals at various levels. This is also the case for the forecasts collected in the COVID-19 Forecast Hub ( https://covid19forecasthub.org/ …