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Origin and Limits of Invariant Warming Patterns in Climate Models

Origin and Limits of Invariant Warming Patterns in Climate Models

Climate models exhibit an approximately invariant surface warming pattern in typical end-of-century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact assessments for fast calculations of local temperature anomalies, with a linear procedure known as pattern scaling. At the same time, emerging research has also shown that time-varying warming …