Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using
Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using
Spherical Fourier Neural Operators
Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems presently use up to 100 members, larger ensembles could enrich the sampling of internal variability. They may capture the long tails associated with climate hazards better …