Optimizing the timing of an end-of-outbreak declaration: Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Optimizing the timing of an end-of-outbreak declaration: Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Following the apparent final case in an Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak, the decision to declare the outbreak over must balance societal benefits of relaxing interventions against the risk of resurgence. Estimates of the end-of-outbreak probability (the probability that no future cases will occur) provide quantitative evidence that can inform …