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Angular reproduction numbers improve estimates of transmissibility when disease generation times are misspecified or time-varying

Angular reproduction numbers improve estimates of transmissibility when disease generation times are misspecified or time-varying

Abstract We introduce the angular reproduction number Ω, which measures time-varying changes in epidemic transmissibility resulting from variations in both the effective reproduction number R , and generation time distribution w . Predominant approaches for tracking pathogen spread either infer R or the epidemic growth rate r . However, R …