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A SEIRD+V Model for the Effect of Vaccination and Social Distancing on SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Mortality

A SEIRD+V Model for the Effect of Vaccination and Social Distancing on SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Mortality

Abstract We present a deterministic, calibrated Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Dead + Vaccinated (SEIRD+V) model that simulates the spread and containment of COVID-19. We use the model to compare the effectiveness of vaccination vs. social distancing on death prevention and total and peak infection reduction. We find that vaccination drastically reduces total deaths from …