Prefer a chat interface with context about you and your work?
Separating internal and externally forced contributions to global temperature variability using a Bayesian stochastic energy balance framework
Earth's temperature variability can be partitioned into internal and externally forced components. Yet, underlying mechanisms and their relative contributions remain insufficiently understood, especially on decadal to centennial timescales. Important reasons for this are difficulties in isolating internal and externally forced variability. Here, we provide a physically motivated emulation of global …