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Country-report pattern corrections of new cases allow accurate two-week predictions of Covid19 evolution with the Gompertz model

Country-report pattern corrections of new cases allow accurate two-week predictions of Covid19 evolution with the Gompertz model

Abstract Accurate short-term prediction of Covid19 cases with empirical models allow Health Officials to prepare for hospital contingencies in a two-three week window given the delay between case reporting and the admission of patients in a hospital. We investigate the ability of Gompertz-type empiric models to provide accurate prediction up …