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Fooled by Randomness. The Misleading Effect of Treatment Crossover in Randomized Trials of Therapies with Marginal Treatment Benefit

Fooled by Randomness. The Misleading Effect of Treatment Crossover in Randomized Trials of Therapies with Marginal Treatment Benefit

Crossover can bias clinical outcomes of randomized clinical trials by increasing the risk of both type I (false positive) and type II (false negative) errors. To show how crossover can increase type I error, we provide computer simulation and review herein illustrative examples (iniparib, olaratumab) of recently reported RCTs that …