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Low case numbers enable long-term stable pandemic control without lockdowns

Low case numbers enable long-term stable pandemic control without lockdowns

Abstract The traditional long-term solutions for epidemic control involve eradication or population immunity. Here, we analytically derive the existence of a third viable solution: a stable equilibrium at low case numbers, where test-trace-and-isolate policies partially compensate for local spreading events, and only moderate restrictions remain necessary. In this equilibrium, daily …