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Mathematical Modeling and Forecasting of COVID-19 in Moscow and Novosibirsk Region

Mathematical Modeling and Forecasting of COVID-19 in Moscow and Novosibirsk Region

We investigate inverse problems of finding unknown parameters of mathematical models SEIR-HCD and SEIR-D of COVID-19 spread with additional information about the number of detected cases, mortality, self-isolation coefficient, and tests performed for the city of Moscow and Novosibirsk region since 23.03.2020. In SEIR-HCD the population is divided into seven …