An international initiative of predicting the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic using ensemble data assimilation
An international initiative of predicting the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic using ensemble data assimilation
<p style='text-indent:20px;'>This work demonstrates the efficiency of using iterative ensemble smoothers to estimate the parameters of an SEIR model. We have extended a standard SEIR model with age-classes and compartments of sick, hospitalized, and dead. The data conditioned on are the daily numbers of accumulated deaths and the number of …