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Calibration and Uncertainty Quantification of Convective Parameters in an Idealized GCM

Calibration and Uncertainty Quantification of Convective Parameters in an Idealized GCM

Abstract Parameters in climate models are usually calibrated manually, exploiting only small subsets of the available data. This precludes both optimal calibration and quantification of uncertainties. Traditional Bayesian calibration methods that allow uncertainty quantification are too expensive for climate models; they are also not robust in the presence of internal …