Tracking the early depleting transmission dynamics of COVID-19 with a time-varying SIR model
Tracking the early depleting transmission dynamics of COVID-19 with a time-varying SIR model
Abstract The susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) model offers the simplest framework to study transmission dynamics of COVID-19, however, it does not factor in its early depleting trend observed during a lockdown. We modified the SIR model to specifically simulate the early depleting transmission dynamics of COVID-19 to better predict its temporal trend …