Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics
Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics
Early estimates of the transmission potential of emerging and re-emerging infections are increasingly used to inform public health authorities on the level of risk posed by outbreaks. Existing methods to estimate the reproduction number generally assume exponential growth in case incidence in the first few disease generations, before susceptible depletion …