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SARS-Cov-2 trajectory predictions and scenario simulations from a global perspective: a modelling study

SARS-Cov-2 trajectory predictions and scenario simulations from a global perspective: a modelling study

Abstract The coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 emerging from Wuhan, China has developed into a global epidemic. Here, we combine both human mobility and non-pharmaceutical interventions (social-distancing and suspected-cases isolation) into SEIR transmission model to understand how coronavirus transmits in a global environment. Dynamic trends of region-specific time-variant reproduction number, social-distancing rate, work-resumption …