Accounting for cross-immunity can improve forecast accuracy during influenza epidemics
Accounting for cross-immunity can improve forecast accuracy during influenza epidemics
Abstract Previous exposure to influenza viruses confers partial cross-immunity against future infections with related strains. However, this is not always accounted for explicitly in mathematical models used for forecasting during influenza outbreaks. We show that, if an influenza outbreak is due to a strain that is similar to one that …