Estimating the true (population) infection rate for COVID-19: A Backcasting Approach with Monte Carlo Methods
Estimating the true (population) infection rate for COVID-19: A Backcasting Approach with Monte Carlo Methods
ABSTRACT Differences in COVID-19 testing and tracing across countries, as well as changes in testing within each country overtime, make it difficult to estimate the true (population) infection rate based on the confirmed number of cases obtained through RNA viral testing. We applied a backcasting approach, coupled with Monte Carlo …