Epidemiology of Coronavirus COVID-19: Forecasting the Future Incidence in Different Countries
Epidemiology of Coronavirus COVID-19: Forecasting the Future Incidence in Different Countries
This paper forecasts the future spread of COVID-19 by exploiting the identified lead-lag effects between different countries. Specifically, we first determine the past relation among nations with the aid of dynamic time warping. This procedure allows an elastic adjustment of the time axis to find similar but phase-shifted sequences. Afterwards, …