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Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020

Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020

Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing …