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Establishment of Locally Adapted Mutations Under Divergent Selection

Establishment of Locally Adapted Mutations Under Divergent Selection

We study the establishment probabilities of locally adapted mutations using a multi-type branching process framework. We find a surprisingly simple and intuitive analytical approximation for the establishment probabilities in a symmetric two-deme model under the assumption of weak (positive) selection. This is the first analytical closed-form approximation for arbitrary migration …