Estimating the subcritical transmissibility of the Zika outbreak in the State of Florida, USA, 2016
Estimating the subcritical transmissibility of the Zika outbreak in the State of Florida, USA, 2016
Florida State has reported autochthonous transmission of Zika virus since late July 2016. Here we assessed the transmissibility associated with the outbreak and generated a short-term forecast. Time-dependent dynamics of imported cases reported in the state of Florida was approximated by a logistic growth equation. We estimated the reproduction number …