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Forecasting Influenza Outbreaks in Boroughs and Neighborhoods of New York City

Forecasting Influenza Outbreaks in Boroughs and Neighborhoods of New York City

The ideal spatial scale, or granularity, at which infectious disease incidence should be monitored and forecast has been little explored. By identifying the optimal granularity for a given disease and host population, and matching surveillance and prediction efforts to this scale, response to emergent and recurrent outbreaks can be improved. …