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Seasonality of Influenza A(H7N9) Virus in China—Fitting Simple Epidemic Models to Human Cases

Seasonality of Influenza A(H7N9) Virus in China—Fitting Simple Epidemic Models to Human Cases

Background Three epidemic waves of influenza A(H7N9) (hereafter 'H7N9') human cases have occurred between March 2013 and July 2015 in China. However, the underlying transmission mechanism remains unclear. Our main objective is to use mathematical models to study how seasonality, secular changes and environmental transmission play a role in the …