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Accurate estimation of influenza epidemics using Google search data via ARGO

Accurate estimation of influenza epidemics using Google search data via ARGO

Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses publicly available online search data. In addition to having a rigorous statistical foundation, ARGO outperforms all previously …