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Overestimation of the Effect Size in Group Sequential Trials

Overestimation of the Effect Size in Group Sequential Trials

Group sequential designs (GSD), which provide for interim monitoring of efficacy data and allow potential early trial termination while preserving the type I error rate, have become commonplace in oncology clinical trials. Although ethically appealing, GSDs tend to overestimate the true treatment effect size at early interim analyses. Overestimation of …