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Climate Variability and the Outbreaks of Cholera in Zanzibar, East Africa: A Time Series Analysis

Climate Variability and the Outbreaks of Cholera in Zanzibar, East Africa: A Time Series Analysis

Global cholera incidence is increasing, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. We examined the impact of climate and ocean environmental variability on cholera outbreaks, and developed a forecasting model for outbreaks in Zanzibar. Routine cholera surveillance reports between 1997 and 2006 were correlated with remotely and locally sensed environmental data. A seasonal …