Matrix models for childhood infections: a Bayesian approach with applications to rubella and mumps
Matrix models for childhood infections: a Bayesian approach with applications to rubella and mumps
Mathematical modelling is an established tool for planning and monitoring vaccination programmes. However, the matrices describing contact rates are based on subjective choices, which have a large impact on results. This paper reviews published models and obtains prior model probabilities based on publication frequency and expert opinion. Using serological survey …