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Rare events and the convergence of exponentially averaged work values

Rare events and the convergence of exponentially averaged work values

Equilibrium free energy differences are given by exponential averages of nonequilibrium work values; such averages, however, often converge poorly, as they are dominated by rare realizations. I show that there is a simple and intuitively appealing description of these rare but dominant realizations. This description is expressed as a duality …