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Modeling Properties of Influenza-Like Illness Peak Events with Crossing Theory

Modeling Properties of Influenza-Like Illness Peak Events with Crossing Theory

The concept of “peak event” has been used extensively to characterize influenza epidemics. Current definitions, however, could not maximize the amount of pertinent information about the probabilities of peak events that could be extracted from the generally limited available records. This study proposes a new method of defining peak events …