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Bayesian calibration of hydrocarbon reservoir models using an approximate reservoir simulator in the prior specification

Bayesian calibration of hydrocarbon reservoir models using an approximate reservoir simulator in the prior specification

We consider prediction and uncertainty analysis for the ‘history matching’ problem in petroleum reservoir evaluation. Unknown reservoir properties are represented on a fine three dimensional lattice. A ‘reservoir simulator’ takes the reservoir properties as input and gives production properties as output. The history matching problem is to infer the reservoir …