Modeling and Predicting Popularity Dynamics of Microblogs using Self-Excited Hawkes Processes
Modeling and Predicting Popularity Dynamics of Microblogs using Self-Excited Hawkes Processes
The ability to model and predict the popularity dynamics of individual user generated items on online media has important implications in a wide range of areas. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic model using a Self-Excited Hawkes Process (SEHP) to characterize the process through which individual microblogs gain their …