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Nonasymptotic bounds for autoregressive time series modeling

Nonasymptotic bounds for autoregressive time series modeling

The subject of this paper is autoregressive (AR) modeling of a stationary, Gaussian discrete time process, based on a finite sequence of observations. The process is assumed to admit an AR($\infty$) representation with exponentially decaying coefficients. We adopt the nonparametric minimax framework and study how well the process can be …