Forecasting the Trajectory of the COVID-19 Pandemic under Plausible Variant and Intervention Scenarios: A Global Modelling Study

Similar Works

Action	Title	Year	Authors
+ PDF Chat	Forecasting the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic into 2023 under plausible variant and intervention scenarios: a global modelling study	2023	Robert C. Reiner James K. Collins Chris Murray
+	Projecting the future impact of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants under uncertainty: Modeling the initial Omicron outbreak	2024	Sean M. Moore Sean Cavany T. Alex Perkins Guido España
+ PDF Chat	An overview of COVID-19 global epidemiology and discussion of potential drivers of variable global pandemic impacts	2023	Polly Ashmore Emma Sherwood
+	Projecting Omicron scenarios in the US while tracking population-level immunity	2024	Anass Bouchnita Kaiming Bi Spencer J. Fox Lauren Ancel Meyers
+ PDF Chat	Combining predictive models with future change scenarios can produce credible forecasts of COVID-19 futures	2022	Ken Newcomb Shakir Bilal Edwin Michael
+ PDF Chat	Projecting Omicron scenarios in the US while tracking population-level immunity	2023	Anass Bouchnita Kaiming Bi Spencer J. Fox Lauren Ancel Meyers
+	Supplementary Data: OpenCOVID model output underlaying Figures 1 and 2 of "Modelling the impact of Omicron and emerging variants on SARS-CoV-2 transmission and public health burden"	2022	Epke A. Le Rutte Andrew J. Shattock Nakul Chitnis Sherrie L. Kelly Melissa A. Penny
+	Supplementary Data: OpenCOVID model output underlaying Figures 1 and 2 of "Modelling the impact of Omicron and emerging variants on SARS-CoV-2 transmission and public health burden"	2022	Epke A. Le Rutte Andrew J. Shattock Nakul Chitnis Sherrie L. Kelly Melissa A. Penny
+	Combining predictive models with future change scenarios can produce credible forecasts of COVID-19 futures	2021	Ken Newcomb Shakir Bilal Edwin Michael
+ PDF Chat	COVID-19 vaccine booster strategies in light of emerging viral variants: Frequency, timing, and target groups	2022	Sherrie L. Kelly Epke A. Le Rutte Maximilian Richter Melissa A. Penny Andrew J. Shattock
+	Additional file 1 of Global-scale modeling of early factors and country-specific trajectories of COVID-19 incidence: a cross-sectional study of the first 6 months of the pandemic	2022	Sujoy Ghosh Saikat Sinha Roy
+	Vaccines and variants: Modelling insights into emerging issues in COVID-19 epidemiology	2021	Jamie M. Caldwell Xuan Le Lorin McIntosh Michael T. Meehan Samson Ogunlade Romain Ragonnet Genevieve O’Neill James M. Trauer Emma S. McBryde
+	Editor's evaluation: Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination	2021	Talía Malagón
+	Analyzing the worldwide progression of COVID-19 cases and deaths using nonlinear mixed-effects model	2024	Hiroki Koshimichi Akihiro Hisaka
+	Author response: Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination	2022	Shaun Truelove Claire P. Smith Michelle Qin Luke C. Mullany Rebecca K. Borchering Justin Lessler Katriona Shea Emily Howerton Lucie Contamin John Levander
+ PDF Chat	COVID-19 Endemic Plan: Impact of Vaccination and Non-pharmaceutical Interventions with Viral Variants and Waning Immunity Using an Agent-Based Simulation	2022	Serin Lee Zelda B. Zabinsky Judith N. Wasserheit Jennifer M. Ross Shi Chen Shan Liu
+	Decision letter: Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination	2021	Jodie McVernon
+	Global predictions of short- to medium-term COVID-19 transmission trends : a retrospective assessment	2021	Sangeeta Bhatia Kris V. Parag Jack Wardle Natsuko Imai Sabine van Elsland Britta Lassmann Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg Elita Jauneikaite H. Juliette T. Unwin Steven Riley
+ PDF Chat	COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in South Africa and epidemiological characteristics of three variants of concern (Beta, Delta, and Omicron)	2021	Wan Yang Jeffrey Shaman
+ PDF Chat	Burden and characteristics of COVID-19 in the United States during 2020	2021	Sen Pei Teresa K. Yamana Sasikiran Kandula Marta Galanti Jeffrey Shaman

Works That Cite This (3)

Action	Title	Year	Authors
+ PDF Chat	Reflection on contextual factors associated with burden of infectious diseases in multi-country modelling approach on the example of Eastern Europe	2022	Andrzej Jarynowski
+ PDF Chat	Assessing COVID-19 pandemic policies and behaviours and their economic and educational trade-offs across US states from Jan 1, 2020, to July 31, 2022: an observational analysis	2023	Thomas J. Bollyky Emma Castro Aleksandr Y. Aravkin Kayleigh Bhangdia Jeremy Dalos Erin Hulland Samantha Kiernan Amy Lastuka Theresa A. McHugh Samuel M Ostroff
+ PDF Chat	Explicit modeling of antibody levels for infectious disease simulations in the context of SARS-CoV-2	2023	Sebastian Alexander Müller Sydney Paltra Jakob Rehmann Kai Nagel Tim Conrad

Works Cited by This (16)

Action	Title	Year	Authors
+	Nonpharmaceutical Interventions Implemented by US Cities During the 1918-1919 Influenza Pandemic	2007	Howard Markel Harvey B. Lipman J. Alexander Navarro Alexandra Sloan Joseph R. Michalsen Alexandra Minna Stern Martín S. Cetron
+ PDF Chat	Using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to predict and monitor the number of beds occupied during a SARS outbreak in a tertiary hospital in Singapore	2005	Arul Earnest Mark Chen Donald Ng Leo Yee Sin
+	Special report: The simulations driving the world’s response to COVID-19	2020	David Adam
+	COVID-19 in New Zealand and the impact of the national response: a descriptive epidemiological study	2020	Sarah Jefferies Nigel French Charlotte Gilkison Giles Graham Virginia Hope Jonathan C. Marshall Caroline McElnay Andrea McNeill Petra Muellner Shevaun Paine
+ PDF Chat	Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England	2021	Nicholas G. Davies Sam Abbott Rosanna C. Barnard Christopher I Jarvis Adam J. Kucharski James D. Munday Carl A. B. Pearson Timothy Russell Damien C. Tully Alex Washburne
+	A very simple model to account for the rapid rise of the British variant of SARS-CoV-2 in several countries and the world	2021	Hugo Fort
+	SARS-CoV-2 elimination, not mitigation, creates best outcomes for health, the economy, and civil liberties	2021	Miquel Oliu-Barton Bary Pradelski Philippe Aghion Patrick Artus Ilona Kickbusch Jeffrey V. Lazarus Devi Sridhar Samantha Vanderslott
+ PDF Chat	A global database of COVID-19 vaccinations	2021	Edouard Mathieu Hannah Ritchie Esteban Ortiz-Ospina Max Roser Joe Hasell Cameron Appel Charlie Giattino Lucas Rodés-Guirao
+	Predictive performance of international COVID-19 mortality forecasting models	2021	Joseph Friedman Patrick Liu Christopher Troeger Austin Carter Robert C. Reiner Ryan M Barber James K. Collins Stephen S Lim David M. Pigott Theo Vos
+ PDF Chat	Epidemiology, not geopolitics, should guide COVID-19 vaccine donations	2021	Thomas J. Bollyky Christopher J L Murray Robert C. Reiner