Projecting Month of Birth for At-Risk Infants after Zika Virus Disease Outbreaks

Type: Article

Publication Date: 2016-03-03

Citations: 41

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2205.160290

Abstract

The marked increase in infants born with microcephaly in Brazil after a 2015 outbreak of Zika virus (Zika virus) disease suggests an association between maternal Zika virus infection and congenital microcephaly. To project the timing of delivery of infants born to mothers infected during early pregnancy in 1 city in Bahia State, Brazil, we incorporated data on reported Zika virus disease cases and microcephaly cases into a graphical schematic of weekly birth cohorts. We projected that these births would occur through February 2016. Applying similar projections to a hypothetical location at which Zika virus transmission started in November, we projected that full-term infants at risk for Zika virus infection would be born during April-September 2016. We also developed a modifiable spreadsheet tool that public health officials and researchers can use for their countries to plan for deliveries of infants to women who were infected with Zika virus during different pregnancy trimesters.

Locations

  • Emerging infectious diseases - View - PDF
  • PubMed Central - View
  • Europe PMC (PubMed Central) - View - PDF
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) - View
  • PubMed - View

Similar Works

Action Title Year Authors
+ A theoretical estimate of the risk of microcephaly during pregnancy with Zika virus infection 2016 Hiroshi Nishiura
Kenji Mizumoto
Kat S. Rock
Yohei Yasuda
Ryo Kinoshita
Yuichiro Miyamatsu
+ Zika-Associated Microcephaly Epidemic and Birth Rate Reduction in Brazilian Cities 2018 Fredi Alexander Díaz-Quijano
Daniele Maria Pelissari
Alexandre Dias Porto Chiavegatto Filho
+ PDF Chat Can Zika Account for the Missing Babies? 2017 Flávio Codeço Coelho
Margaret Armstrong
Valéria Saraceni
Cristina Lemos
+ Can Zika account for the missing babies? 2017 Flávio Codeço Coelho
Margaret Armstrong
Valéria Saraceni
Cristina Lemos
+ PDF Chat Zika virus infection and microcephaly: Evidence regarding geospatial associations 2018 João Ricardo Nickenig Vissoci
Thiago Augusto Hernandes Rocha
Núbia Cristina da Silva
Rejane Christine de Sousa Queiroz
Érika Bárbara Abreu Fonseca Thomaz
Pedro Amaral
Adriana Lein
Maria dos Remédios Freitas Carvalho Branco
José Aquino
Zulimar Márita Ribeiro Rodrigues
+ Decision letter: Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting 2017
+ Author response: Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting 2017 José Lourenço
Maricélia Maia de Lima
Nuno R. Faria
Andrew Walker
Moritz U. G. Kraemer
Christian Julián Villabona‐Arenas
Ben Lambert
Erenilde Marques de Cerqueira
Oliver G. Pybus
Luíz Carlos Júnior Alcântara
+ PDF Chat Impact evaluation of Zika epidemic on congenital anomalies registration in Brazil: An interrupted time series analysis 2019 Enny S. Paixão
Moreno S. Rodrigues
Luciana Lobato Cardim
Juliane F. Oliveira
Larissa Catharina
Maria da Conceição Nascimento Costa
Maurício L. Barreto
Laura C. Rodrigues
Liam Smeeth
Roberto F. S. Andrade
+ Mitigating Prenatal Zika Virus Infection in the Americas 2016 Martial L. Ndeffo-Mbah
Alyssa S. Parpia
Alison P. Galvani
+ PDF Chat Zika virus infection in pregnant women and their children: A review 2021 Elena Marbán-Castro
Anna Goncé
Victòria Fumadó
Lucía Romero-Acevedo
Azucena Bardají
+ PDF Chat Projected spread of Zika virus in the Americas 2016 Qian Zhang
Kaiyuan Sun
Matteo Chinazzi
Ana Pastore-Piontti
Natalie E. Dean
Diana P. Rojas
Stefano Merler
Dina Mistry
Piero Poletti
Luca Rossi
+ PDF Chat Population-based surveillance for congenital zika virus syndrome: a latent class analysis of recorded cases from 2015–2018 2022 Enny S. Paixão
Laura C. Rodrigues
Maria da Conceição Nascimento Costa
Rita Carvalho-Sauer
Wanderson Kleber de Oliveira
Luciana Lobato Cardim
Lavínia Schüler‐Faccini
Roberto F. S. Andrade
Moreno S. Rodrigues
Elizabeth B. Brickley
+ PDF Chat WHO interim guidance on pregnancy management in the context of Zika virus infection 2016 Olufemi T. Oladapo
João Paulo Souza
Bremen De Mucio
Rodolfo Gómez Ponce de Leon
William Perea
A Metin Gülmezoglu
+ MAPPING OF CONGENITAL ZIKA VIRUS SYNDROME, LOW BIRTH WEIGHT AND PREMATURITY IN BRAZIL: A SPATIAL ANALYSIS 2024 Cíntia Pereira Donateli
Gustavo Bastos Braga
Gabriel Gonçalves Assunção
Jefferson Souza Fernandes
Glauce Dias da Costa
+ PDF Chat Neonatal Microcephaly and Central Nervous System Abnormalities During the Zika Outbreak in Rio de Janeiro 2025 Marlos Melo Martins
Roberto de Andrade Medronho
Carlos Eduardo Raymundo
Arnaldo Prata‐Barbosa
Antônio José Lêdo Alves da Cunha
+ PDF Chat Gestational outcomes in women infected by Zika virus during pregnancy in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil: A cross-sectional study 2020 Iara Beatriz Andrade de Sousa
Cristina Souza
Marcelo dos Santos Barbosa
Júlio Croda
Crhistinne Cavalheiro Maymone Gonçalves
Sara Santos Bernardes
Silvana Beutinger Marchioro
+ Infant outcomes among women with Zika virus infection during pregnancy: observation on microcephaly 2017 Beuy Joob
Viroj Wiwanitkit
+ PDF Chat Association of past dengue fever epidemics with the risk of Zika microcephaly at the population level in Brazil 2020 Marília Sá Carvalho
Laís Picinini Freitas
Oswaldo Gonçalves Cruz
Patrícia Brasil
Leonardo Soares Bastos
+ PDF Chat A Cost-Effectiveness Tool for Informing Policies on Zika Virus Control 2016 Jorge A. Alfaro-Murillo
Alyssa S. Parpia
Meagan C. Fitzpatrick
Jules A. Tamagnan
Jan Medlock
Martial L. Ndeffo-Mbah
Durland Fish
María L. Ávila-Agüero
Rodrigo Marín
Albert I. Ko
+ Optimal Vaccination Targets for Preventing Prenatal Zika Infection 2018 Stephen G. Baum

Works That Cite This (7)

Action Title Year Authors
+ PDF Chat A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern 2019 Pei-Ying Kobres
Jean-Paul Chrétien
Michael A. Johansson
Jeffrey J. Morgan
Pai‐Yei Whung
Harshini Mukundan
Sara Y. Del Valle
Brett M. Forshey
Talía M. Quandelacy
Matthew Biggerstaff
+ PDF Chat Forecasting Zika Incidence in the 2016 Latin America Outbreak Combining Traditional Disease Surveillance with Search, Social Media, and News Report Data 2017 Sarah F. McGough
John S. Brownstein
Jared B. Hawkins
Mauricio Santillana
+ PDF Chat A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern 2019 Pei-Ying Kobres
JP Chretien
Michael A. Johansson
Jeffrey J. Morgan
P-Y Whung
Harshini Mukundan
SY Del Valle
BM Forshey
Talía M. Quandelacy
Matthew Biggerstaff
+ PDF Chat Navigating the Zika panic 2016 Nathan D. Grubaugh
Kristian G. Andersen
+ Global performance of epidemiologic surveillance of Zika virus: rapid assessment of an ongoing epidemic 2016 Edgar Fabián Manrique-Hernández
Julián Alfredo Fernández-Niño
Álvaro J. Idrovo
+ PDF Chat Seroprevalence of Zika virus among blood donors before the epidemic in Barranquilla, Colombia, 2015-2016. 2019 Brayan Bayona-Pacheco
Jorge Acosta‐Reyes
Édgar Navarro
Homero San Juan
JOHAN BULA
Hernando Baquero
+ PDF Chat Expected Duration of Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes after Zika Epidemic 2017 Rosalind M. Eggo
Adam J. Kucharski