Mathematics â€ș Modeling and Simulation

COVID-19 epidemiological studies

Description

This cluster of papers focuses on mathematical modeling, analysis, and forecasting of the transmission dynamics, public health interventions, and epidemiological characteristics of the COVID-19 pandemic. It includes studies on the impact of various factors such as temperature, humidity, social distancing, and travel restrictions on the spread of the virus.

Keywords

COVID-19; modeling; transmission dynamics; public health interventions; epidemiology; infectious diseases; social distancing; mathematical analysis; pandemic control; viral spread

Most Cited Works

Action Title Date Authors
Epidemic processes in complex networks 2015-08-31 Romualdo Pastor‐Satorras Claudio Castellano Piet Van Mieghem Alessandro Vespignani
Applied logistic regression 1990-02-01 David W. Hosmer Stanley Lemeshow
Zika Virus Outbreak on Yap Island, Federated States of Micronesia 2009-06-10 Mark R. Duffy Tai-Ho Chen W. Thane Hancock Ann M. Powers Jacob L. Kool Robert S. Lanciotti Moses Pretrick Maria Marfel Stacey Holzbauer Christine Dubray
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Understanding individual human mobility patterns 2008-06-04 Marta C. GonzĂĄlez CĂ©sar A. Hidalgo Albert‐LĂĄszlĂł BarabĂĄsi
On the definition and the computation of the basic reproduction ratio R 0 in models for infectious diseases in heterogeneous populations 1990-06-01 Odo Diekmann Hans Heesterbeek J.A.J. Metz
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Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission 2002-11-01 P. van den Driessche James Watmough
Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data 2008-11-19 Jeremy Ginsberg Matthew H. Mohebbi Rajan Patel Lynnette Brammer Mark S. Smolinski Larry Brilliant
The global distribution and burden of dengue 2013-04-01 Samir Bhatt Peter W. Gething Oliver J. Brady Jane P. Messina Andrew Farlow Catherine L. Moyes John M. Drake John S. Brownstein Anne G. Hoen Osman Sankoh
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A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics 1927-08-01 W. O. Kermack A. G. McKendrick
Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases 2008-03-19 Jöel Mossong Niel Hens Mark Jit Philippe Beutels Kari Auranen Rafael Mikolajczyk Marco Massari Stefania Salmaso Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba Jacco Wallinga
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The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases 2000-01-01 Herbert W. Hethcote
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Epidemiologic Research: Principles and Quantitative Methods. 1984-09-01 Lawrence S. Mayer David G. Kleinbaum Lawrence L. Kupper Hal Morgenstern
SARS and MERS: recent insights into emerging coronaviruses 2016-06-27 Emmie de Wit Neeltje van Doremalen Darryl Falzarano Vincent J. Munster
GISAID: Global initiative on sharing all influenza data – from vision to reality 2017-03-30 Yuelong Shu John W. McCauley
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A novel coronavirus outbreak of global health concern 2020-01-24 Chen Wang Peter Horby Frederick G. Hayden George F. Gao
Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study 2020-01-31 Joseph T. Wu Kathy Leung GM Leung
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Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia 2020-01-29 Qun Li Xuhua Guan Peng Wu Xiaoye Wang Lei Zhou Yeqing Tong Ruiqi Ren Kathy Leung Eric H. Y. Lau Jessica Y. Wong
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Transmission of 2019-nCoV Infection from an Asymptomatic Contact in Germany 2020-01-31 Camilla Rothe Mirjam Schunk Peter Sothmann Gisela Bretzel Guenter Froeschl Claudia Wallrauch Thorbjörn Zimmer Verena Thiel Christian JÀnke Wolfgang Guggemos
Timely mental health care for the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak is urgently needed 2020-02-04 Yu‐Tao Xiang Yuan Yang Wen Li Ling Zhang Qinge Zhang Teris Cheung Chee H. Ng
Isolation, quarantine, social distancing and community containment: pivotal role for old-style public health measures in the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak 2020-02-10 Annelies Wilder‐Smith David O. Freedman
The reproductive number of COVID-19 is higher compared to SARS coronavirus 2020-02-11 Ying Liu Alberto Alexander Gayle Annelies Wilder‐Smith Joacim Rocklöv
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Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19): The epidemic and the challenges 2020-02-17 Chih‐Cheng Lai Tzu-Ping Shih Wen‐Chien Ko Hung-Jen Tang Po‐Ren Hsueh
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Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China 2020-02-24 Zunyou Wu Jennifer M. McGoogan
Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts 2020-02-29 Joel Hellewell Sam Abbott Amy Gimma Nikos I Bosse Christopher I Jarvis Timothy Russell James D. Munday Adam J. Kucharski W. John Edmunds Sebastian Funk
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The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China 2020-02-17 Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Emergency Response Epidemiology Team
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The epidemiology and pathogenesis of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak 2020-02-26 Hussin A. Rothan Siddappa N. Byrareddy
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How will country-based mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic? 2020-03-01 Roy M. Anderson Hans Heesterbeek Don Klinkenberg T. Déirdre Hollingsworth
Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study 2020-03-12 Adam J. Kucharski Timothy Russell Charlie Diamond Yang Liu John Edmunds Sebastian Funk Rosalind M. Eggo Fiona Sun Mark Jit James D. Munday
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak 2020-03-06 Matteo Chinazzi Jessica T. Davis Marco Ajelli Corrado Gioannini Maria Litvinova Stefano Merler Ana Pastore y Piontti Kunpeng Mu Luca Rossi Kaiyuan Sun
The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application 2020-03-09 Stephen A. Lauer Kyra H. Grantz Qifang Bi Forrest K. Jones Qulu Zheng Hannah R. Meredith Andrew S. Azman Nicholas G Reich Justin Lessler
COVID-19 and Italy: what next? 2020-03-13 Andrea Remuzzi Giuseppe Remuzzi
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Aerosol and Surface Stability of SARS-CoV-2 as Compared with SARS-CoV-1 2020-03-17 Neeltje van Doremalen Trenton Bushmaker Dylan H. Morris Myndi G. Holbrook Amandine Gamble Brandi N. Williamson Azaibi Tamin Jennifer L. Harcourt Natalie J. Thornburg Susan I. Gerber
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Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) 2020-03-16 Ruiyun Li Sen Pei Đ‘ĐžĐœ Đ§ŃĐœ Yimeng Song Zhang Tao Wan Yang Jeffrey Shaman
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WHO Declares COVID-19 a Pandemic. 2020-03-19 Domenico Cucinotta Maurizio Vanelli
Knowledge, attitudes, and practices towards COVID-19 among Chinese residents during the rapid rise period of the COVID-19 outbreak: a quick online cross-sectional survey 2020-01-01 Bao‐Liang Zhong Wei Luo Hai-Mei Li Qian-Qian Zhang Xiao-Ge Liu Wen-Tian Li Yi Li
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Comorbidity and its impact on 1590 patients with COVID-19 in China: a nationwide analysis 2020-03-26 Wei-jie Guan Wenhua Liang Yi Zhao Heng-rui Liang Zi‐Sheng Chen Yi-min Li Xiaoqing Liu Ru-chong Chen Chun-li Tang Tao Wang
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The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China 2020-03-25 Moritz U. G. Kraemer Chia-Hung Yang Bernardo GutiĂ©rrez Chieh‐Hsi Wu Brennan Klein David M. Pigott Louis du Plessis Nuno R. Faria Ruoran Li William P. Hanage
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Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis 2020-03-30 Robert Verity Lucy Okell Ilaria Dorigatti Peter Winskill Charles Whittaker Natsuko Imai Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg Hayley Thompson Patrick Walker Han Fu
Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19 2020-04-15 Xi He Eric H. Y. Lau Peng Wu Xilong Deng Jian Wang Xinxin Hao Yiu Chung Lau Jessica Y. Wong Yujuan Guan Xinghua Tan
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period 2020-04-14 Stephen M. Kissler Christine Tedijanto Edward Goldstein Yonatan H. Grad Marc Lipsitch
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The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19): A review 2020-04-16 Maria Nicola Zaid Alsafi Catrin Sohrabi Ahmed Kerwan Ahmed Al‐Jabir Christos Iosifidis Maliha Agha Riaz Agha
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Pandemics, tourism and global change: a rapid assessment of COVID-19 2020-04-27 Stefan GĂ¶ĂŸling Daniel Scott C. Michael Hall
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Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand 2020-03-16 Neil M. Ferguson Daniel J. Laydon G Nedjati Gilani Natsuko Imai Kylie E. C. Ainslie Marc Baguelin Sangeeta Bhatia Adhiratha Boonyasiri Zulma M. CucunubĂĄ Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg
Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe 2020-06-08 Seth Flaxman Swapnil Mishra Axel Gandy H. Juliette T. Unwin Thomas A. Mellan Helen Coupland Charles Whittaker Harrison Zhu Tresnia Berah Jeffrey W. Eaton
The Epidemiological Characteristics of an Outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Diseases (COVID-19) — China, 2020 2020-01-01 China CDC Weekly
Clinical and immunological assessment of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections 2020-06-18 Quanxin Long Xiao-Jun Tang Q L Shi Qin Li Haijun Deng Jun Yuan Jieli Hu Wei XĂŒ Yong Zhang Fa-Jin Lv
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Tracking Changes in SARS-CoV-2 Spike: Evidence that D614G Increases Infectivity of the COVID-19 Virus 2020-07-03 Bette Korber Will Fischer S. Gnanakaran Hyejin Yoon James Theiler W. P. Abfalterer Nicolas Hengartner Elena E. Giorgi Tanmoy Bhattacharya Brian Foley
A global panel database of pandemic policies (Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker) 2021-03-08 Thomas Hale Noam Angrist Rafael Goldszmidt Beatriz Kira Anna Petherick Toby Phillips Samuel Webster Emily Cameron-Blake Laura Hallas Saptarshi Majumdar
Neutralizing antibody levels are highly predictive of immune protection from symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection 2021-05-17 David S. Khoury Deborah Cromer Arnold Reynaldi Timothy E. Schlub Adam K. Wheatley Jennifer A. Juno Kanta Subbarao Stephen J. Kent James A. Triccas Miles P. Davenport
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Modeling Infectious Diseases in Humans and Animals 2008-12-31 Matt J. Keeling Pejman Rohani

Most Recent Works

Action Title Date Authors
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A novel time-delayed stochastic epidemic modeling approach incorporating Crowley–Martin incidence and nonlinear holling type II treatment rate 2025-05-06 A. M. Kadri Ahmed Boudaoui Seham M. Al‐Mekhlafi Saif Ullah Mohammed Asiri Muhammad Bilal Riaz
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Analysis and Hopf bifurcation of an SIHR epidemic model with multiple delays and optimal control 2025-05-06 Halet Ismail L. Shangerganesh Fathalla A. Rihan
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A study of geospatial distribution and seasonal trend of dengue fever in a Ratnagiri District of Konkan Region of Maharashtra 2025-05-06 R. R. Shelke Dinesh Asokan Deepika Sadawarte Mandar Sadawarte
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Hybrid statistical machine learning models for predicting impact of Coronavirus on Indian students 2025-05-06 Harish Kumar Anuradha Taluja Parsanjeet Kumar Shiva Garg Ihtiram Raza Khan
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Correction: Healthcare workers’ knowledge, attitude and practices on infection prevention and control in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic at the Faranah regional hospital and associated healthcare centers, Guinea 2025-05-06 Lena Landsmann Anna Borodova Carlos Rocha Aziz Amadou Diallo Kamis Mamadou Diallo Matthias Borchert Mardjan Arvand Mamadou Diallo Rebekah Wood Sophie Alice MĂŒller
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Seasonal social dilemmas 2025-05-06 Lucas S. Flores Amanda de Azevedo-Lopes Chadi M. Saad-Roy Arne Traulsen
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Correction: Deciphering long-term immune effects of HIV-1/SARS-CoV-2 co-infection: a longitudinal study 2025-05-06 Elena VĂĄzquez‐Alejo MarĂ­a de la Sierra Espinar-Buitrago Esmeralda Magro-LĂłpez Laura TarancĂłn‐DĂ­ez Cristina DĂ­ez JosĂ© Ignacio Bernardino Anna Rull Ignacio De Los Santos Roberto Alonso Angielys Zamora
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Dynamic Interactions of COVID-19 Incidences, Mobility, and Social Distancing Policies in Seoul: A VAR Model Approach 2025-05-06 Zeyu Hu Won Chang Young-ook Jang Youngji Jo Jae-Hun Jung
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Infectious Diseases and Public Health Challenges in Developing Countries: A Focus on Southeast Asia and Laos 2025-05-06 Aoxue Wang
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Influenza and pneumococcal vaccine hesitancy in the elderly population: results from two representative surveys in Germany 2025-05-06 Dorothee Heinemeier Philipp Schmid Sarah Eitze Cornelia Betsch
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Estimation of COVID-19 Incidence based on PM2.5 in Chiang Mai, Thailand using New Transformed Estimators in the Presence of Missing Observations 2025-05-06 Natthapat Thongsak Nuanpan Lawson
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Manipulating the Hopf and Generalized Hopf Bifurcations in an Epidemic Model via Braga’s Methodology 2025-05-06 AyƟe Peker Dobie
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Estimating death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies using the network survival method 2025-05-07 Casey Breen Saeed Ur Rahman Christina Kay Joeri Smits Abraham Azar Steve Ahuka Dennis M. Feehan
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Socioeconomic inequalities in Chile during the COVID-19 pandemic: A regional analysis of income poverty 2025-05-07 Iris Delgado Sushma Dahal Isabel Matute Patricia García Ramírez Svenn‐Erik Mamelund Gerardo Chowell
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On the Estimation of the Time-Dependent Transmission Rate in Epidemiological Models 2025-05-07 Jorge P. Zubelli Jennifer Loria Vinicius Albani
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Characterizing pandemic-related publications: a retrospective study using spatial citation network analysis 2025-05-08 Zhiyang Xiao L. T. Fan Zidong Yu Xintao Liu
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COVID-19 vaccination implementation in six lower- and middle-income countries: Successes, challenges, and lessons for pandemic preparedness 2025-05-07 Cara Tupps Dora Curry Amanda Edwards Eva Bazant Ann Moen Anthony W. Mounts Joseph Bresee
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Temporal Analysis and Prediction of MalariaDynamics Using Meteorological Data in Southeastof Senegal 2025-05-07 Léontine Ndogou Bakhoum Mor Absa Loum Mouhamad M. Allaya Modibo Diarra Lucien Gning Khady Ndiaye Almamy Youssouf LY Ousmane Sy Fatimata Bintou Sall Mariane Diop
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A delay mathematical model for cholera transmission: Stability, chaos and bifurcation 2025-05-07 Shaima Al-Shanfari Danish Ali Sunny Ibrahim M. Elmojtaba Nasser Al-Salti Shijo Pushpan
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Sub-national landscape on the years of life lost due to COVID-19 pandemic in the major cities of Southern Philippines 2025-05-07 Zython Paul Lachica
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Dr. E. P. Madhava Bhattathiry, 1927–2025 2025-05-07 Vivek Krishnan
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Optimal Strategies to Contain Arboviruses Spread 2025-05-07 Paolo Di Giamberardino Daniela Iacoviello
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Organoids at the forefront of global health: accelerated research and ethical implications in the cases of Zika and COVID-19 2025-05-06 Amy Hinterberger Aleksandra Stelmach
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Global Dynamics of Mosquito Population Model With Seasonality and Spatial Heterogeneity 2025-05-07 Miao Cui Fuxiang Li Fengjie Geng
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An epidemic model of HIV transmission with two stochastic perturbations 2025-05-07 Guo Jiang Zhicen Hu Yuanqin Chen
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Analysis and optimal control strategies of epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rates 2025-05-08 C. L. Philip Chen Zhongyi Xiang
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Poverty And Disability - On the Lines of Capability Approach: A Study Based on Kolkata City 2025-05-08 Salauddin Biswas Chandrajit Basu
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Impact of dual climatic and socioeconomic factors on global trends in infectious disease outbreaks 2025-05-08 Zongxi Qu Lingqing Zhang Yongzhong Sha Beidou Zhang Kequan Zhang
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Dynamics of a reaction-diffusion SIS epidemic model with population outflow on the boundary 2025-05-08 Yaru Hu Yu Jin Jinfeng Wang
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Geographically Weighted Random Forest Model for Addressing Spatial Heterogeneity of Monthly Rainfall with Small Sample Size 2025-05-09 Rismania Hartanti Putri Yulianing Damayanti Suci Astutik Ani Budi Astuti
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Critical behavior of epidemics depending on the interplay between temporal scales and human behavior 2025-05-08 Davide Maniscalco Tommaso Bertola Valeria d’Andrea Manlio De Domenico
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Backward Bifurcation of an Age-Structured Epidemic Model with Partial Immunity 2025-05-08 Liming Cai Minghai Lei Jin Wang
Semi‐Markov Multistate Modeling Approaches for Multicohort Event History Data 2025-05-08 Xavier Piulachs Klaus Langohr Mireia BesalĂș NatĂ lia PallarĂšs Jordi CarratalĂ  Cristian TebĂ© Guadalupe GĂłmez Melis
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Clinical characteristics of 6,578 adult cholera patients admitted to community and referral cholera treatment centers in Lusaka, Zambia, October 2023- April 2024 2025-05-08 Nyuma Mbewe Tadatsugu Imamura Suilanji Sivile Annel Sinkala Paul Msanzya Zulu Chitalu Chanda Neil Naik Nawa Kalima Roy Tepa Kabaso Mwewa
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Characterizing spatial epidemiology in a heterogeneous transmission landscape using the spatial transmission count statistic 2025-05-09 Leke Lyu Gabriella Veytsel Guppy Stott Spencer J. Fox Cody Dailey Lambodhar Damodaran Kayo Fujimoto Pamela Brown Roger Sealy Armand Brown
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Global socioeconomic inequalities in vaccination coverage, supply, and confidence 2025-05-09 Qiang Wang Kathy Leung Mark Jit Tsung-Shu Joseph Wu Leesa Lin
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Complex Dynamics in a Discrete Eco-Epidemiological Model with Fatal Disease in the Prey 2025-05-09 Ceyu Lei Xiaoling Han
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How Re-Infections and Newborns Can Impact Visible and Hidden Epidemic Dynamics? 2025-05-09 Igor Nesteruk
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Evolution of COVID-19 mortality risk: A retrospective study of three epidemic waves in Faridabad, India 2025-05-09 Lokesh Parashar Girish Gulab Meshram S Vig Jagdish Prasad
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Gaming after lockdowns: return to the slots 2025-05-09 Jenny Lye Joseph G. Hirschberg
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Meteorologically Normalized Air Quality Trends During COVID in India: Contrast Between Metro vs Non-metro Cities 2025-05-09 Krishnakant Suryawanshi Abhishek Chakraborty
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Epidemiological characteristics of respiratory tract infections during and after the pandemic of COVID-19 from 2021 - 2023 in Shenzhen, southern China 2025-05-09 Qi Jin Yu Sheng Jiuxin Qu
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Precision public health after Covid-19: a scoping review 2025-05-09 Martha Kenney Laura Mamo
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Exploring the capacity and challenges to strengthen the health system performance for future outbreaks of Aedes-borne diseases in Puducherry, India 2025-05-09 K. Amitha Arya Rahul Anoop C. Choolayil Hisham Moosan
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Correction: Unravelling Myths: A Difference-In-Differences Analysis of Post-Vaccination Mortality in Italy During COVID-19 2025-05-09 Graziella Bonanno Marino De Luca
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On a Spatial Mosquito-Borne Disease Model with Density-Dependent Dispersal 2025-05-09 Kai Wang Peng Wu Qian Ding Jianshe Yu
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COVID‐19 Vaccine Mandates in Southeast Asia: A Comparative Study of Policies in Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam 2025-05-08 Nor Kamila Kamaruzaman Hang Duong Anna Lisa Ong‐Lim Linh P. Tran Vu Hai Ha Pawinee Doung‐ngern Margie Danchin Euzebiusz Jamrozik Fiona M. Russell Katie Attwell
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Quantitatively analyzing the relationship between non-pharmaceutical interventions and the direction of virus evolution using a dynamic model 2025-05-09 Zuiyuan Guo Yuheng Chen Hongbo Liu Guangquan Xiao Di Yu Ze Zhang Yimin Yang Zhongwei Yin Huibin Zhang
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The crucial role the field epidemiology training program played in preparedness and response to the COVID-19 pandemic in Sierra Leone, January 2020 to August 2022 2025-05-09 Gebrekrstos Negash Gebru Alden Henderson Adel Hussein Elduma James Sylvester Squire Mohamed Vandi Daphne B. Moffett Monique A. Foster
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Risk perceptions, knowledge and protection practices related to COVID-19 in Dessie City Administration, Northeast Ethiopia: a community-based study 2025-05-09 Husien Nurahmed Toleha Ewunetie Mekashaw Bayked Birhanu Demeke Workneh Teferi Gedif Fenta