William M. Briggs

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All published works

Action	Title	Year	Authors
+ PDF Chat	Using predictive methods to assess observation and measure importance	2024	William M. Briggs
+	What Makes a Good Model?	2024	William M. Briggs
+	The Unfulfilled Quest for Discovering Cause from Probability	2023	William M. Briggs
+	The Most Infamous Coronavirus Forecast	2022	William M. Briggs
+	Fixes to the Ryden & McNeil Ammonia Flux Model	2019	William M. Briggs Jaap C. Hanekamp
+	Uncertainty in the MAN Data Calibration & Trend Estimates	2019	William M. Briggs Jaap C. Hanekamp
+	Uncertainty in the MAN Data Calibration & Trend Estimates	2019	William M. Briggs Jaap C. Hanekamp
+	Fixes to the Ryden & McNeil Ammonia Flux Model	2019	William M. Briggs Jaap C. Hanekamp
+	Comment on Goedhart and Huijsmans (2017)	2017	William M. Briggs Jaap C. Hanekamp M. Crok
+	Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics	2016	William M. Briggs
+	Chance and Randomness	2016	William M. Briggs
+	What Probability Is Not	2016	William M. Briggs
+	Uncertainty	2016	William M. Briggs
+	The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill	2015	William M. Briggs
+	The Problem Of Grue Isn't	2015	William M. Briggs
+	The Crisis Of Evidence: Why Probability And Statistics Cannot Discover Cause	2015	William M. Briggs
+	The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill	2015	William M. Briggs
+	The Problem Of Grue Isn't	2015	William M. Briggs
+	Common Statistical Fallacies	2014	William M. Briggs
+	On Probability Leakage	2012	William M. Briggs
+	It is Time to Stop Teaching Frequentism to Non-statisticians	2012	William M. Briggs
+	On Probability Leakage	2012	William M. Briggs
+	It is Time to Stop Teaching Frequentism to Non-statisticians	2012	William M. Briggs
+	Stepwise Logistic Regression	2009	Nathan L. Pace William M. Briggs
+	A new look at inference for the Hypergeometric Distribution.	2009	William M. Briggs Russell Zaretzki
+ PDF Chat	On the Changes in the Number and Intensity of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones	2008	William M. Briggs
+ PDF Chat	The Skill Plot: A Graphical Technique for Evaluating Continuous Diagnostic Tests	2008	William M. Briggs Russell Zaretzki
+	Rejoinder	2008	William M. Briggs Russell Zaretzki
+	Rejoinder: The Skill Plot	2007	William M. Briggs Russell Zaretzki
+	The Skill Plot: A Graphical Technique for Evaluating Continuous Diagnostic Tests	2007	William M. Briggs Russell Zaretzki
+ PDF Chat	Positive evidence for non-arbitrary assignments of probability	2007	William M. Briggs Kevin H. Knuth Ariel Caticha Julian L. Center Adom Giffin Carlos C. Rodríguez
+	On the non-arbitrary assignment of equi-probable priors	2007	William M. Briggs
+	Changes in number and intensity of world-wide tropical cyclones	2007	William M. Briggs
+	MCMC Inference for a Model with Sampling Bias: An Illustration using SAGE data	2007	Russell Zaretzki Michael A. Gilchrist William M. Briggs Artin Armagan
+	Broccoli Reduces The Risk of Splenetic Fever! The use of induction and falsifiability in statistics and model selection	2006	William M. Briggs
+ PDF Chat	Incorporating Misclassification Error in Skill Assessment	2005	William M. Briggs Matt Pocernich David Ruppert
+ PDF Chat	A General Method of Incorporating Forecast Cost and Loss in Value Scores	2005	William M. Briggs
+	7. At Any Rate	2005	William M. Briggs
+ PDF Chat	Wavelets and Field Forecast Verification	1997	William M. Briggs Richard A. Levine

Common Coauthors

Coauthor	Papers Together
Russell Zaretzki	6
Jaap C. Hanekamp	5
Kevin H. Knuth	1
Julian L. Center	1
Nathan L. Pace	1
Artin Armagan	1
Carlos C. Rodríguez	1
David Ruppert	1
Richard A. Levine	1
Ariel Caticha	1
Matt Pocernich	1
Michael A. Gilchrist	1
M. Crok	1
Adom Giffin	1

Commonly Cited References

Action	Title	Year	Authors	# of times referenced
+	Probability theory : the logic of science	2003	E. T. Jaynes	5
+	A Treatise on Probability	1921	John Maynard Keynes	4
+ PDF Chat	A General Method of Incorporating Forecast Cost and Loss in Value Scores	2005	William M. Briggs	3
+	An Interpretation for the ROC Curve and Inference Using GLM Procedures	2000	Margaret S. Pepe	2
+	A goodness-of-fit test for logistic regression models based on case-control data	1997	Jing Qin Biao Zhang	2
+	Asymptotic Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators and Likelihood Ratio Tests under Nonstandard Conditions	1987	Steven G. Self Kung‐Yee Liang	2
+	Uncertainty	2016	William M. Briggs	2
+	The Quark and the Jaguar	1998	Murray Gell‐Mann	2
+	The Emergence of Probability	2006	Ian Hacking	2
+	The Statistical Evaluation of Medical Tests for Classification and Prediction	2003	Margaret S. Pepe	2
+ PDF Chat	The ASA Statement on <i>p</i>-Values: Context, Process, and Purpose	2016	Ronald L. Wasserstein Nicole A. Lazar	2
+	Good Thinking: The Foundations of Probability and Its Applications.	1985	James O. Berger I. J. Good	2
+	Using logistic regression procedures for estimating receiver operating characteristic curves	2003	Jing Qin Biao Zhang	2
+ PDF Chat	Origin of probabilities and their application to the multiverse	2014	Andreas Albrecht Daniel R. Phillips	2
+	JAGS: Just Another Gibbs Sampler	2012	Martyn Plummer	2
+	Theory of probability	1939	Harold Jeffreys R. Bruce Lindsay	2
+	A distribution-free procedure for comparing receiver operating characteristic curves for a paired experiment	1996	Ennapadam Venkatraman	2
+	Subjective and Objective Bayesian Statistics	2002	S. James Press	2
+	Testing a Point Null Hypothesis: The Irreconcilability of<i>P</i>Values and Evidence	1987	James O. Berger Thomas Sellke	2
+	Advances in statistical methodology for diagnostic medecine ni the 1980's	1991	C. Begg	2
+ PDF Chat	A Predictive View of the Detection and Characterization of Influential Observations in Regression Analysis	1983	Wesley O. Johnson Seymour Geisser	2
+	A Falsifying Rule for Probability Statements	1971	Donald Gillies	2
+	Statistical Methods in Diagnostic Medicine	2002	Xiao‐Hua Zhou Nancy A. Obuchowski Donna K. McClish	2
+	Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics	2016	William M. Briggs	2
+ PDF Chat	A Theory of Physical Probability	2002	Richard Johns	1
+	Can the strengths of AIC and BIC be shared? A conflict between model indentification and regression estimation	2005	Yuhong Yang	1
+	The Relationship Between Neyman and Bayes Confidence Intervals for the Hypergeometric Parameter	1968	G.P. Steck W. J. Zimmer	1
+	Wavelet Shrinkage: Asymptopia?	1995	David L. Donoho Iain M. Johnstone Gérard Kerkyacharian Dominique Picard	1
+	Bayesian Prediction and Population Size Assumptions	1971	T. L. Bratcher William R. Schucany H. H. Hunt	1
+	Broccoli Reduces The Risk of Splenetic Fever! The use of induction and falsifiability in statistics and model selection	2006	William M. Briggs	1
+	Stepwise Logistic Regression	2009	Srikesh Arunajadai	1
+ PDF Chat	Randomness everywhere	1999	Cristian S. Calude Gregory J. Chaitin	1
+	The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference.	1977	Teddy Seidenfeld Henry E. Kyburg	1
+	Finite Population Correction for Binomial Confidence Limits	1975	Herman Burstein	1
+	An objective change point analysis of landfalling historical Atlantic hurricane numbers	2006	Stephen Jewson Jeremy Penzer	1
+ PDF Chat	Theory of multivariate statistics	2000	Martin Bilodeau David J. Brenner	1
+	Bayes Estimates for the Linear Model	1972	D. V. Lindley A. F. M. Smith	1
+	Operational Subjective Statistical Methods	1998	S. K. Katti	1
+	Simple and Effective Confidence Intervals for Proportions and Differences of Proportions Result from Adding Two Successes and Two Failures	2000	Alan Agresti Brian Caffo	1
+	Interview with a Quantum Bayesian	2012	Christopher A. Fuchs	1
+	Frequency of Selecting Noise Variables in Subset Regression Analysis: A Simulation Study	1987	Virginia F. Flack Potter C. Chang	1
+ PDF Chat	Statistical Modeling: The Two Cultures (with comments and a rejoinder by the author)	2001	Leo Breiman	1
+ PDF Chat	QBism and the Greeks: why a quantum state does not represent an element of physical reality	2014	Christopher A. Fuchs Rüdiger Schack	1
+ PDF Chat	Correlations of Sea Level Pressure Fields for Objective Analysis	1989	William Perrie Bechara Toulany	1
+	Independent Predictors from Stepwise Logistic Regression May Be Nothing More than Publishable P Values	2008	Nathan L. Pace	1
+	A First Course in Probability.	1984	Malcolm J. Sherman Sheldon M. Ross	1
+	Statistics and Causal Inference	1986	Paul W. Holland	1
+ PDF Chat	Measurements on the reality of the wavefunction	2015	Martin Ringbauer B. Duffus Cyril Branciard Eric G. Cavalcanti A. G. White Alessandro Fedrizzi	1
+	The Statistical Evaluation of Medical Tests for Classification and Prediction	2005	Margaret S. Pepe	1
+	On Probability Leakage	2012	William M. Briggs	1