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Armin Spreco
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All published works
Action
Title
Year
Authors
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Evaluation and communication of pandemic scenarios
2024
Philip Gerlee
Henrik Thorén
Anna Jöud
Torbjörn Lundh
Armin Spreco
Anders Nordlund
Thomas Brezicka
Tom Britton
Magnus Kjellberg
Henrik Källberg
+
PDF
Chat
Integrated Surveillance of Disparities in Vaccination Coverage and Morbidity during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Cohort Study in Southeast Sweden
2024
Armin Spreco
Örjan Dahlström
Dennis Nordvall
Cecilia Fagerström
Eva Blomqvist
Fredrik Gustafsson
Christer Andersson
Rune Sjödahl
Olle Eriksson
Jorma Hinkula
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Concordance between COVID-19 mortality statistics derived from clinical audit and death certificates in Östergötland county, Sweden
2023
Armin Spreco
Christer Andersson
Rune Sjödahl
Toomas Timpka
+
PDF
Chat
Computational models predicting the early development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden: systematic review, data synthesis, and secondary validation of accuracy
2022
Philip Gerlee
Anna Jöud
Armin Spreco
Toomas Timpka
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Hospital bed occupancy for COVID‐19 or with SARS‐CoV‐2 infection in a Swedish county during the omicron wave
2022
Armin Spreco
Christer Andersson
Rune Sjödahl
Örjan Dahlström
Toomas Timpka
+
PDF
Chat
Nowcasting (Short-Term Forecasting) of COVID-19 Hospitalizations Using Syndromic Healthcare Data, Sweden, 2020
2022
Armin Spreco
Anna Jöud
Olle Eriksson
Kristian Soltesz
Reidar Källström
Örjan Dahlström
Henrik Eriksson
Joakim Ekberg
Carl‐Oscar Jonson
Carl‐Johan Fraenkel
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PDF
Chat
Predicting regional COVID-19 hospital admissions in Sweden using mobility data
2021
Philip Gerlee
Julia Karlsson
Ingrid Fritzell
Thomas Brezicka
Armin Spreco
Toomas Timpka
Anna Jöud
Torbjörn Lundh
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Predicting regional COVID-19 hospital admissions in Sweden using mobility data
2021
Philip Gerlee
Julia Karlsson
Ingrid Fritzell
Thomas Brezicka
Armin Spreco
Toomas Timpka
Anna Jöud
Torbjörn Lundh
+
PDF
Chat
The effect of interventions on COVID-19
2020
Kristian Soltesz
Fredrik Gustafsson
Toomas Timpka
Joakim Jaldén
Carl Jidling
Albin Heimerson
Thomas B. Schön
Armin Spreco
Joakim Ekberg
Örjan Dahlström
+
PDF
Chat
Nowcasting (Short-Term Forecasting) of Influenza Epidemics in Local Settings, Sweden, 2008–2019
2020
Armin Spreco
Olle Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Benjamin J. Cowling
Matthew Biggerstaff
Gunnar Ljunggren
Anna Jöud
Emanuel Istefan
Toomas Timpka
+
Sensitivity analysis of the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
2020
Kristian Soltesz
Fredrik Gustafsson
Toomas Timpka
Joakim Jaldén
Carl Jidling
Albin Heimerson
Thomas B. Schön
Armin Spreco
Joakim Ekberg
Örjan Dahlström
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On the sensitivity of non-pharmaceutical intervention models for SARS-CoV-2 spread estimation
2020
Kristian Soltesz
Fredrik Gustafsson
Toomas Timpka
Joakim Jaldén
Carl Jidling
Albin Heimerson
Thomas B. Schön
Armin Spreco
Joakim Ekberg
Örjan Dahlström
+
Nowcasting (short-term forecasting) of influenza epidemics in local settings: prospective evaluation in three urban counties in Sweden, 2008-2019
2020
Armin Spreco
Olle Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Benjamin J. Cowling
Matthew Biggerstaff
Gunnar Ljunggren
Anna Jöud
Emmanuel Istefan
Toomas Timpka
+
PDF
Chat
Evaluation of Nowcasting for Detecting and Predicting Local Influenza Epidemics, Sweden, 2009–2014
2018
Armin Spreco
Olle Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Benjamin J. Cowling
Toomas Timpka
+
PDF
Chat
Place-based social contact and mixing: a typology of generic meeting places of relevance for infectious disease transmission
2017
Marcus Strömgren
Einar Holm
Örjan Dahlström
Joakim Ekberg
Henrik Eriksson
Armin Spreco
Toomas Timpka
+
Integrated Detection and Prediction of Influenza Activity for Real-Time Surveillance: Algorithm Design
2017
Armin Spreco
Olle Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Benjamin J. Cowling
Toomas Timpka
+
PDF
Chat
Influenza detection and prediction algorithms: comparative accuracy trial in Östergötland county, Sweden, 2008–2012
2017
Armin Spreco
Ove Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Toomas Timpka
+
PDF
Chat
Epidemiological and statistical basis for detection and prediction of influenza epidemics
2017
Armin Spreco
+
PDF
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Algorithms for detecting and predicting influenza outbreaks: metanarrative review of prospective evaluations
2016
Armin Spreco
Toomas Timpka
+
PDF
Chat
Relevance of workplace social mixing during influenza pandemics: an experimental modelling study of workplace cultures
2016
Toomas Timpka
Håkan Eriksson
Einar Holm
Marcus Strömgren
Joakim Ekberg
Armin Spreco
Örjan Dahlström
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Intentions to perform non-pharmaceutical protective behaviors during influenza outbreaks : a cross-sectional study of a representative sample of the Swedish adult population
2013
Toomas Timpka
Armin Spreco
Örjan Dahlström
Olle Eriksson
Elin Gursky
Joakim Ekberg
Magnus Strömgren
David Karlsson
Jorma Hinkula
Einar Holm
+
PDF
Chat
Age as a Determinant for Dissemination of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza: An Open Cohort Study of Influenza Outbreaks in Östergötland County, Sweden
2012
Toomas Timpka
Olle Eriksson
Armin Spreco
Elin Gursky
Magnus Strömgren
Einar Holm
Joakim Ekberg
Örjan Dahlström
Lars Valter
Henrik Eriksson
Common Coauthors
Coauthor
Papers Together
Toomas Timpka
21
Örjan Dahlström
15
Anna Jöud
10
Joakim Ekberg
8
Olle Eriksson
8
Fredrik Gustafsson
5
Philip Gerlee
5
Benjamin J. Cowling
4
Kristian Soltesz
4
Einar Holm
4
Carl Jidling
3
Christer Andersson
3
Bo Bernhardsson
3
Fredrik Bagge Carlson
3
Thomas Brezicka
3
Torbjörn Lundh
3
Rune Sjödahl
3
Henrik Eriksson
3
Joakim Jaldén
3
Albin Heimerson
3
Thomas B. Schön
3
Matthew Biggerstaff
2
Ingrid Fritzell
2
Marcus Strömgren
2
Elin Gursky
2
Jorma Hinkula
2
Julia Karlsson
2
Magnus Strömgren
2
Gunnar Ljunggren
2
Ove Eriksson
1
Reidar Källström
1
David Karlsson
1
Carl‐Oscar Jonson
1
Henrik Thorén
1
Tom Britton
1
Anders Tegnell
1
Magnus Kjellberg
1
Emanuel Istefan
1
Emmanuel Istefan
1
Eva Blomqvist
1
Lars Valter
1
Thomas Schön
1
Dennis Nordvall
1
Lisa Brouwers
1
Håkan Eriksson
1
Henrik Källberg
1
Anders Nordlund
1
Carl‐Johan Fraenkel
1
Cecilia Fagerström
1
Torbjörn Lundh
1
Commonly Cited References
Action
Title
Year
Authors
# of times referenced
+
Population-based simulations of influenza pandemics: validity and significance for public health policy
2009
Toomas Timpka
Henrik Eriksson
Elin Gursky
James M. Nyce
Magnus Morin
Johan Jenvald
Magnus Strömgren
Einar Holm
Joakim Ekberg
7
+
PDF
Chat
Requirements and Design of the PROSPER Protocol for Implementation of Information Infrastructures Supporting Pandemic Response: A Nominal Group Study
2011
Toomas Timpka
Henrik Eriksson
Elin Gursky
Magnus Strömgren
Einar Holm
Joakim Ekberg
Olle Eriksson
Anders Grimvall
Lars Valter
James M. Nyce
6
+
PDF
Chat
A systematic review of studies on forecasting the dynamics of influenza outbreaks
2013
Elaine O. Nsoesie
John S. Brownstein
Naren Ramakrishnan
Madhav Marathe
5
+
PDF
Chat
Methods for monitoring influenza surveillance data
2006
Benjamin J. Cowling
Irene Wong
LM Ho
Steven Riley
GM Leung
4
+
PDF
Chat
Influenza Forecasting in Human Populations: A Scoping Review
2014
Jean-Paul Chrétien
Dylan B. George
Jeffrey Shaman
Rohit A. Chitale
F. Ellis McKenzie
4
+
PDF
Chat
Prediction of the Spread of Influenza Epidemics by the Method of Analogues
2003
Cécile Viboud
Piérre-Yves Boëlle
Fabrice Carrat
Alain‐Jacques Valleron
Antoine Flahault
4
+
Integrated Detection and Prediction of Influenza Activity for Real-Time Surveillance: Algorithm Design
2017
Armin Spreco
Olle Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Benjamin J. Cowling
Toomas Timpka
4
+
PDF
Chat
Algorithms for detecting and predicting influenza outbreaks: metanarrative review of prospective evaluations
2016
Armin Spreco
Toomas Timpka
3
+
PDF
Chat
Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases
2008
Joël Mossong
Niel Hens
Mark Jit
Philippe Beutels
Kari Auranen
Rafael Mikolajczyk
Marco Massari
Stefania Salmaso
Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba
Jacco Wallinga
3
+
Real-time estimation and prediction for pandemic A/H1N1(2009) in Japan
2011
Yasushi Ohkusa
Tamie Sugawara
Kiyosu Taniguchi
Nobuhiko Okabe
3
+
PDF
Chat
Evaluation of Nowcasting for Detecting and Predicting Local Influenza Epidemics, Sweden, 2009–2014
2018
Armin Spreco
Olle Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Benjamin J. Cowling
Toomas Timpka
3
+
PDF
Chat
Influenza surveillance in <scp>E</scp>urope: comparing intensity levels calculated using the moving epidemic method
2015
Tomás Vega
José Eugenio Lozano Alonso
T J Meerhoff
René Snacken
Julien Beauté
Pernille Jorgensen
Raúl Ortíz de Lejarazu
Lisa Domegan
Joël Mossong
Jens Nielsen
3
+
Bayesian prediction of an epidemic curve
2008
Xia Jiang
Garrick Wallstrom
Gregory F. Cooper
Michael M. Wagner
3
+
PDF
Chat
Sequential detection of influenza epidemics by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
2012
Pau Closas
Ermengol Coma
Leonardo Méndez-Boo
3
+
Report 13: Estimating the number of infections and the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in 11 European countries
2020
Seth Flaxman
Swapnil Mishra
Axel Gandy
H. Juliette T. Unwin
Helen Coupland
Thomas A. Mellan
Harrison Zhu
Tresnia Berah
Jeffrey W. Eaton
Paula Guzmán
3
+
PDF
Chat
Bayesian Markov switching models for the early detection of influenza epidemics
2008
Miguel A. Martínez‐Beneito
David Conesa
Antonio López‐Quílez
Aurora López‐Maside
3
+
PDF
Chat
Age-specific Differences in Influenza A Epidemic Curves: Do Children Drive the Spread of Influenza Epidemics?
2011
Dena L. Schanzer
Julie Vachon
L Pelletier
3
+
PDF
Chat
Estimating Infection Attack Rates and Severity in Real Time during an Influenza Pandemic: Analysis of Serial Cross-Sectional Serologic Surveillance Data
2011
Joseph T. Wu
Andrew Fu Wah Ho
S. K. Edward
Cheuk Kwong Lee
Daniel K. W. Chu
Po‐Lai Ho
Ivan Fan‐Ngai Hung
LM Ho
Che Kit Lin
Thomas Tsang
2
+
PDF
Chat
Contact Profiles in Eight European Countries and Implications for Modelling the Spread of Airborne Infectious Diseases
2009
Mirjam Kretzschmar
Rafael Mikolajczyk
2
+
Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease
2020
Robert Verity
Lucy Okell
Ilaria Dorigatti
Peter Winskill
Charles A. Whittaker
Natsuko Imai
Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg
Hayley Thompson
Patrick Walker
Han Fu
2
+
PDF
Chat
Predicting influenza with dynamical methods
2016
Linda Moniz
Anna L. Buczak
Ben Baugher
Erhan Guven
Jean-Paul Chrétien
2
+
PDF
Chat
Inference of seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics
2015
Wan Yang
Marc Lipsitch
Jeffrey Shaman
2
+
PDF
Chat
Results from the centers for disease control and prevention’s predict the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Challenge
2016
Matthew Biggerstaff
David Alper
Mark Dredze
Spencer J. Fox
Isaac Chun‐Hai Fung
Kyle S. Hickmann
Bryan Lewis
Roni Rosenfeld
Jeffrey Shaman
Ming‐Hsiang Tsou
2
+
PDF
Chat
Influenza detection and prediction algorithms: comparative accuracy trial in Östergötland county, Sweden, 2008–2012
2017
Armin Spreco
Ove Eriksson
Örjan Dahlström
Toomas Timpka
2
+
Community interventions and the epidemic prevention potential
2002
M ELIZABETHHALLORAN
2
+
PDF
Chat
Retrospective forecasting of the 2010–2014 Melbourne influenza seasons using multiple surveillance systems
2016
Robert Moss
Alexander E. Zarebski
P.H. Dawson
James M. McCaw
2
+
Monitoring the COVID-19 epidemic in the context of widespread local transmission
2020
Alberto L. García‐Basteiro
Carlos Chaccour
Caterina Guinovart
Anna Llupià
Joe Brew
Antoni Trilla
Antoni Plasència
2
+
PDF
Chat
How to improve monitoring and forecasting of disease patterns.
1993
R. E Laporte
2
+
PDF
Chat
Modeling emergency department visit patterns for infectious disease complaints: results and application to disease surveillance
2005
Judith C. Brillman
Tom Burr
D. W. Forslund
Edward L Joyce
Rick Picard
Edith T. Umland
2
+
PDF
Chat
Can epidemic detection systems at the hospital level complement regional surveillance networks: Case study with the influenza epidemic?
2014
Solweig Gerbier-Colomban
Véronique Potinet-Pagliaroli
Marie-Hélène Metzger
2
+
PDF
Chat
Predicting consumer behavior with Web search
2010
Sharad Goel
Jake M. Hofman
Sébastien Lahaie
David M. Pennock
Duncan J. Watts
2
+
PDF
Chat
Age as a Determinant for Dissemination of Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza: An Open Cohort Study of Influenza Outbreaks in Östergötland County, Sweden
2012
Toomas Timpka
Olle Eriksson
Armin Spreco
Elin Gursky
Magnus Strömgren
Einar Holm
Joakim Ekberg
Örjan Dahlström
Lars Valter
Henrik Eriksson
2
+
PDF
Chat
Syndromic Surveillance for Influenza in the Emergency Department–A Systematic Review
2013
Katherine M. Hiller
Lisa Stoneking
Alice Min
Suzanne Michelle Rhodes
2
+
PDF
Chat
Dynamic social networks and the implications for the spread of infectious disease
2008
Jonathan M. Read
Ken Eames
W. John Edmunds
2
+
PDF
Chat
Triggering Interventions for Influenza: The ALERT Algorithm
2014
Nicholas G Reich
Derek A. T. Cummings
Stephen A. Lauer
Martha Zorn
Christine C. Robinson
Ann-Christine Nyquist
Connie Price
Michael S. Simberkoff
Lewis J. Radonovich
Trish M. Perl
2
+
AN INFLUMZA SIMULATION MODEL FOR IMMUNIZATION STUDIES
1976
Lila R. Elveback
John P. Fox
Eugene Ackerman
Alice Langworthy
Mary E. Boyd
LAEL GATEWOOD
2
+
Emergence of viral diseases: mathematical modeling as a tool for infection control, policy and decision making
2010
Derrick Louz
Hans Bergmans
Birgit P. Loos
Rob C. Hoeben
2
+
Modelling in infectious diseases: between haphazard and hazard
2013
Ami Neuberger
Mical Paul
Aji Muhammad NIzar
Didier Raoult
2
+
A discrete time-space geography for epidemiology: from mixing groups to pockets of local order in pandemic simulations.
2007
Einar Holm
Toomas Timpka
2
+
What Have We Learned from the Novel Influenza A (H1N1) Pandemic in 2009 for Strengthening Pandemic Influenza Preparedness?
2009
José Ignacio Santos-Preciado
Carlos Franco‐Paredes
Isabel Hernandez-Flores
Ildefonso Téllez
Carlos del Rı́o
Roberto Tapia‐Conyer
2
+
Estimation of the reproductive number and the serial interval in early phase of the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic in the USA
2009
Laura F. White
Jacco Wallinga
Lyn Finelli
Carrie Reed
Steven Riley
Marc Lipsitch
Michele Pagano
2
+
Lessons from previous predictions of HIV/AIDS in the United States and Japan: epidemiologic models and policy formulation
2007
Hiroshi Nishiura
2
+
PDF
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Rapid detection of pandemic influenza in the presence of seasonal influenza
2010
Brajendra K. Singh
Nicholas J. Savill
Neil M. Ferguson
Chris Robertson
Mark Woolhouse
2
+
PDF
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Comparison of Filtering Methods for the Modeling and Retrospective Forecasting of Influenza Epidemics
2014
Wan Yang
Alicia Karspeck
Jeffrey Shaman
2
+
A neighborhood susceptibility index for planning of local physical interventions in response to pandemic influenza outbreaks.
2010
Toomas Timpka
Henrik Eriksson
Magnus Strömgren
Olle Eriksson
Joakim Ekberg
Anders Grimvall
James M. Nyce
Elin Gursky
Einar Holm
2
+
PDF
Chat
Optimal design of studies of influenza transmission in households. II: Comparison between cohort and case-ascertained studies
2013
BA Klick
Hiroshi Nishiura
GM Leung
Benjamin J. Cowling
2
+
PDF
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Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States
2008
M. Elizabeth Halloran
Neil M. Ferguson
Stephen Eubank
Ira M. Longini
Derek A. T. Cummings
Bryan Lewis
Shufu Xu
Christophe Fraser
Anil Vullikanti
Timothy C. Germann
2
+
PDF
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Nowcasting pandemic influenza A/H1N1 2009 hospitalizations in the Netherlands
2011
Tjibbe Donker
Michiel van Boven
W. Marijn van Ballegooijen
Tessa M. van’t Klooster
Cornelia C. H. Wielders
Jacco Wallinga
2
+
PDF
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Beyond Diagnostic Accuracy: The Clinical Utility of Diagnostic Tests
2012
Patrick M. Bossuyt
Johannes B. Reitsma
Kristían Línnet
Karel G.M. Moons
2
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Using Data on Social Contacts to Estimate Age-specific Transmission Parameters for Respiratory-spread Infectious Agents
2006
Jacco Wallinga
Peter Teunis
Mirjam Kretzschmar
2